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Articles of 2005

Lacy-Reid Fight Predictions



After a bit of a drought, our thirst for boxing will be slaked this weekend. On Saturday, August 6, on Showtime, Jeff “Left Hook” Lacy defends his IBF/IBO super middleweight title against challenger Robin “The Reaper Man” Reid over 12 explosive rounds. Lacy’s a fighter on the rise, and Reid is his toughest challenge yet. Does the Brit have enough to derail the Jeff Lacy Express? This is how The Sweet Science writers see it.

Reid fought a six-rounder in his last fight and is in action once a year: Lacy by seventh round knockout.
Mitch Abramson

Robin Reid is tough and sturdy. He's been in against some top competition. But Jeff Lacy is special. The man can punch and that's how this bout ends. Lacy by 9th-round knockout.
Robert Cassidy Jr.

Reid could be a very tough test for Lacy. The guy is a former world champion who has been in with some of the best, and he's never been on the canvas. His experience is his biggest advantage. But I still see Lacy – who is fighting for the first time as a pro in front of a home crowd – winning by decision.
Rick Folstad

Jeff Lacy by unanimous decision. Unless Robin Reid is totally shot he's tough enough to make this match competitive at best and endure a sustained beating at worst. This could be one-sided, but even if it is this fight should go the distance.
Tim Graham

This is supposed to be a tough fight for Jeff Lacy. Robin Reid, a former champion, and current holder of an obscure belt, has never been stopped. He also gave other belt-holders Joe Calzaghe and Sven Ottke difficulties, albeit in losing efforts. Jeff Lacy, however, generates more power that Calzaghe and Ottke combined. He also brings to the ring more raw talent than virtually any young fighter in the game today. Ostensibly, a win in this fight puts him in a title unification with Calzaghe this fall. Unfortunately, Calzaghe often stumbles over a “breakdown in negotiations” when big fights look as though they may actually happen. Lacy will crack the code on Reid very early and will stop him inside the distance. Such a result, while a big plus on the one hand, may serve to initiate another obstacle in his quest to meet Calzaghe – expect a hitch. Lacy by KO in 10.
JE Grant

There isn't much to separate them, other than a half-dozen years, so the question is, or ought to be, How much does Reid have left in the tank at 34? It's hard to envision either of these guys knocking the other out, which leaves home-field advantage: Lacy in a close decision that will leave the Brits howling.
George Kimball

How do you make a prediction on a fight when you've only seen one of the guys fight one time? That's the case here as Reid is an enigma, as are most fighters who ply their trade predominately in Europe. We don't get to see how good they are until they make Tszyu stop on his stool, as did Ricky Hatton, and then we notice. Reid is a tough nut for sure. He has never been stopped and took Joe Calzaghe to a split decision. Losing to Sven Ottke in Germany is no big deal, nobody beats Ottke in Germany, never, and now that he is retired nobody ever will. So Reid can box some judging by his success against Calzaghe – despite a losing effort, has beaten the likes of Brian Magee, he hasn't been stopped and boasts a solid 27 KOs in 38 wins. Lacy continues to takes steps up in class, but he isn't the best technical boxer Reid has ever faced and someday it will catch up to him. Lacy was only ahead by one point on two of the judges cards when he stopped Syd Vanderpool last year, and the very hittable Omar Sheika was within two points on two judges’ cards when the scores were tallied at the end of their battle in March of this year. If Lacy can't overpower you with his shots, he certainly won't out-jab you. So here is the problem for Lacy, fighting a tough nut like Reid who brings decent power and should be able to take Lacy's shots. Call it pure madness, call it a hope and a prayer, but I'm calling it an upset as the “Grim Reaper” Reid takes a decision Saturday night.
Joey Knish

I have never seen Robin Reid fight, and only know him by reputation. But it seems fair to assume that this will be Jeff Lacy's toughest test to date. Word is the Brit – who could always crack and take a good punch – has gotten slick with age. One caveat is the 34-year-old Reid's inactivity. (Conventional wisdom says old vets should stay busy, but isn't that essentially true of all fighters? Maybe Reid comes in fresh? And the former WBC titlist already possesses a significant edge in experience.) Lacy's last three fights –Vanderpool, Sheika and R. Williams – haven't been cakewalks. While he punches hard, he is predictable and loads up too often; opponents see the bombs coming, and protect themselves accordingly. His defense is leaky. He abandons the jab. He has a knack for making fights harder than they need to be. And yet I love the guy! His strengths are youth, conditioning, power, heart, and tremendous determination. I see him wearing Reid down in the championships rounds, much like he did to Omar Sheika, and eking out a hard-fought decision.
Zachary Levin

Newly crowned champions have a history of not looking all that good when they defend at home for the first time. And Robin Reid is a lot like Omar Sheika, who made Lacy look somewhat ordinary. He is also tough and durable enough to make Lacy win a hard, workmanlike decision. Lacy W 12.
Bob Mladinich

Brian Hughes, Robin Reed's trainer, has relayed the news to us that his 34-year-old British tiger has aplomb. Out of a sketchy literary background, I seem to recall that Mark Twain said he never met a boxer with aplomb he did not like. Or was that Little Jack Horner, sitting in a corner? Perhaps a large whiskey would help. No matter. Can you imagine telling Rocky Marciano, or, say, Roberto Duran that he was about to fight someone with aplomb? God help us, has the sweet science come to this? My kingdom for a plum. OK, I'll quit. The pick here is for Jeff Lacy to send Reed home to England claiming he was robbed, something he has done with aplomb in the past.
Pat Putnam

I’ve watched Lacy spar a lot – He’s awesome, not just to look at and figure how those bowling ball muscles could only be 168 pounds, but his punching power. At the Wild Card Gym, where some of the best fighters in the world gravitate, it was hard for him to get sparring partners. Nobody wanted any part of him. Trainers wound up wearing braces doing pad drills with him. He had to settle for cruisers and rocked them like lightweights. The gold standard now is Mayweather. There’s not a fighter out there that couldn’t be picked apart for some shortcoming. Bottom line for Lacy, with his great resolve, power and reserves, I think Reid will have to consider it a victory if he manages to stay on his feet to hear the final bell.
Joe Rein

On Sept. 10, 1993, Robin Reid won a six-round decision over Jose Angel Garcia at Sant Antonio, Texas. His second fight in the United States Friday night against Jeff Lacy also will be six-rounder.
Ed Schuyler

Jeff Lacy is one of the toughest, most aggressive, and extremely exciting fighters in the game today. He certainly lacks some of the slick fundamentals of young champions like Miguel Cotto, but his punching power and guts make up for his deficiencies. One day, a diversified boxer puncher will catch up to him, but I don't think it will happen on Saturday night. Reid is a good opponent, but past his prime, and I don't think he'll be able to keep Lacy off of him in the long run. Lacy TKO8.
Greg Smith

After 19 fights, Florida native Jeff Lacy finally has the opportunity to fight in front of his hometown fans. However, home court advantage is not always a plus in boxing. Just ask Cory Spinks. “Left Hook’s” opponent, Robin Reid, is no journeyman either. Still, Lacy does not seem to be taking the fight lightly and will perform well enough to win. Lacy by unanimous decision.
Aaron Tallent

Something tells me this is going to be a cakewalk for Lacy, who is rapidly approaching what I feel is his fistic peak. Reid is tough, no doubt about it, but Lacy will jump on him from the opening bell and try to intimidate him. If he succeeds and makes Robin back off, look for “Left Hook” to score a KO within five rounds. Otherwise, a younger, busier and speedier Lacy takes home a unanimous decision.
Scott Yaniga

Articles of 2005

In Boxing News: Floyd Mayweather An All-Time Great, Valuev & More



A Shot of Boxing on the Last Day of the Year

The Guardian reports that talks have already taken place between Nicolay Valuev‘s co-promoters – Don King and Wilfried Sauerland – and Danny Williams‘ promoter Frank Warren for Nicolay Valuev to face Danny Williams. I’d suggest Danny Williams needs to worry about Matt Skelton (who Williams is reportedly scheduled to fight in February) before he entertains notions of facing the Beast From The East.

The Mirror in the UK looks forward to a big year in boxing for 2006. The Mirror considers what the future might bring for Joe Calzaghe, Amir Khan and Ricky Hatton, among others.

The Parksville Qualicum News has an interesting column on the travails of former Canadian Super Middleweight title holder Mark Woolnough. Woolnough’s career turned controversial – as widely reported in the Canadian press – at the beginning of this year when Woolnough and four other men were charged with manslaughter and assault after a fight outside a Parksville nightclub. The case returns to court next month. It’s an interesting read, as Woolnough is still looking to the future with hope.

Our own Marc Lichtenfeld provides plenty of food for thought with his Top Ten Wish List for boxing in the New Year. There’s plenty of good stuff here, but what really jumped out for me is Lichtenfeld’s opinion that a win over Zab Judah could have Floyd Mayweather knocking on the door of all-time great status. Seems to me this might be jumping the gun a little. Or is Marc right? Will it soon be time to call Floyd Mayweather Jr. an all-time great?

(More Boxing News Links at

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Articles of 2005

ShoBox Friday Night Fights




Hot bantamweight prospect Raul “The Cobra” Martinez heads back to Chicago next Friday night as he is featured in the co-main event of SHOBOX “THE NEW GENERATION,” an action packed evening of professional boxing presented by Dominic Pesoli’s 8 Count Productions,’ HOME OF THE BEST IN CHICAGO BOXING, Kathy Duva’s Main Events Inc., along with Miller Lite and TCF Bank.

The two-time national amateur champion sporting a perfect 12-0 record with 9 knockouts, six of which have come in the first round,  will take on Colombian Andres “Andy Boy” Ledesma, 13-1 (8 KOs) in a scheduled eight round bout.

Speaking after a training session at his home gym in Georgetown, Texas, Martinez said, “I’m truly looking forward to returning to Chicago. The fans were terrific in September, they were very supportive from the start of the fight,” an internationally televised first round knockout of Miguel Martinez on September 16th at the Aragon Ballroom.

Regarding his upcoming fight with Ledesma, “The Cobra” said, “I haven’t seen him fight, although I understand he’s fought at higher weights and will be naturally bigger than me. I’ve had great training for this fight and feel very confident. I really haven’t left the gym in months, just taking off Sunday’s and even then I get my running in. My thinking is that fights are won in the gym and complete preparation is the key.”

When asked about his being mentioned by Dan Rafael, ESPN’s boxing writer as one of the top prospect’s in the boxing world the 23-year-old San Antonio native said, ‘It’s a great compliment, but I still have much work to do. I want to be a champion for Main Events like Fernando Vargas and Arturo Gatti. But like Fernando said while he was in town, ‘be patient, work hard and your time will come.’”

Finishing the conversation, Martinez said, “I’m looking forward to starting out this year with a bang. I might have a couple less fights than the seven I had in 2005, but I’m looking to stepping up the competition, move up to ten-rounders and climb in the rankings.”

Headlining the evening is a ten-round welterweight showdown between boxing’s hottest prospect, unbeaten Joel Julio of Monteria, Columbia, and Ugandan native Roberto “The Doctor” Kamya. Julio, turning 21 years old the day before the fight, is 25-0 with 22 knockouts, twelve of which have come in the first two rounds. Kamya, now fighting out of West Palm Beach, Florida is 15-5 with four knockouts.

Tickets, starting at $30, are on sale in advance by calling 312-226-5800. Cicero Stadium is located at 1909 S. Laramie, at the corner of 19th and Laramie, just ten minutes south of the Eisenhower Expressway and ten minutes north of the Stevenson Expressway. Doors for this evening will open at 6pm with the first bell at 7pm.

The full bout lineup for the evening is:

Joel Julio vs. Roberto Kamya, ten rounds, welterweights

Raul Martinez vs. Andres Ledesma, eight rounds, bantamweights

Miguel Hernandez vs. Butch Hajicek, eight rounds, middleweights

David Pareja vs. Derek Andrews, eight rounds, light heavyweights

Mike Gonzales vs. Tony Kinney, four rounds, lightweights

Omar Reyes vs. Luis Navarro, five rounds, featherweights

Reynaldo Reyes vs. Ricardo Swift, four rounds, middleweights

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Articles of 2005

Pick ‘Em: Plenty of Big Upcoming Fights in ’06



Here’s the early call on many top matches scheduled for the first half of 2006: Happy New Year!

As the new calendar dawns, there are already a considerable amount of premium bouts on the horizon. Things don’t look to be bogged down by undetermined championships next year. In many cases the scheduled face-offs involve the best fighters in the division, or at least close enough for general bragging rights. If anybody else with proper qualifications signs up to force the issue, all the better.

It can be argued that some pairings could have taken place within a more optimal timeframe, or that some headliners carry distracting baggage, but there are certainly enough heavy hitters on deck. That nobody can deny.

It doesn’t matter whether one considers the proverbial glass half empty or half full; there’s still the same amount of juice in the vessel. It’s nice to know that even with a high number of cancellations, there will still be plenty of important contenders on tap.

With elite fighters in weight divisions from top to bottom on the agenda, it’s an equivalent to what fans in more mainstream sports expect in a consistent championship format.

Baseball fans can almost always count on a World Series. Some hoops fanatics say too much attention to playoffs distracts unmotivated NBA teams during their regular season. In college, they project Sweet Sixteens. Football fans know there’s always a Super Bowl ahead to raise advertising dollars and test the USA’s halftime morals.

So too, there is method in boxing’s current madness.

The midnight crystal ball hasn’t even been unveiled in Times Square and there are already a number of potential thrillers scheduled. Most feature contrasting personalities that almost guarantee going along for the ride will be worthwhile. Any subsequent drops will probably be cheered.

Don King jumps right out of the auld lang gate with a January 7th Showtime card featuring Zab Judah against Carlos Baldomir and Jean-Marc Mormeck in a cruiserweight unification against O’Neil Bell.

It will be the upset of the year, bar none, if Baldomir can tip the applecart before Judah gets to his scheduled super-showdown with Floyd Mayweather Jr. Meanwhile, Mormeck is emerging and should keep on rolling against Bell, who can expose him if he’s not for real.

The proverbial Big Bang starts with a January 21st rematch of one of the finest fights of ‘05, when Erik Morales goes against Manny Pacquaio for the second time on HBO pay per view. The fact that Morales was upset by Zahir Raheem after beating Pacquaio was no real loss in box-office luster. Artful Raheem will get a spot on the undercard and hope his patience is rewarded.

Everyone figures Morales and Pacquaio will pick up where they left off. Like the first time, the rematch is a pick’em contest. Management distractions and glove restrictions cited as Pacquaio’s previous problems won’t matter this time. The two are very evenly matched and their styles will make for another whapathon. It could come down to corners, where Freddie Roach gets the edge since Morales will have a new trainer for the first time since replacing his father after the Raheem lesson.

February features four of the game’s most enduring attractions, in a pair of crucial matchups.

First up, Showtime presents the Jose Luis Castillo – Diego Corrales tiebreaker from El Paso on Feb 4th. This is another pick ‘em pair, barring any sideshow. In boxing that disclaimer may be a stretch, since the sideshow is part of the act and the charm.

As far as action inside the strands goes, every round these guys have fought has been great. There’s no reason to think that pattern won’t continue. Regarding the result, Castillo keeps the pressure on as he did in the second fight, but he’ll walk into trouble from a more reserved Corrales. We still don’t know which coin to flip.

February also holds a better late than never affair between two perennial favorites as Shane Mosley collides with Fernando Vargas on the 25th.  This fight could lead to a winning ticket in the Golden Boy sweepstakes for a fall bonanza against Oscar De La Hoya.

Vargas has been in tougher recently, based on comparable strength of opposition stats, but he’s seen little action. What weight they enter the ring at may have a lot to do with the result. If Vargas has to struggle at the scale, Mosley might have the battle in the bag after round nine.

It’s hard to imagine Mosley getting stopped early, but Vargas doesn’t have to hurt him, he just has to knock him down three times. With natural size, he may be able to do just that, but Mosley would have to box uncharacteristically flat.

Unless Mosley decides to heed the crowd, the most likely scenario is that Shane plays it safe, picks a few shots, and stays away enough to capture a comfortable, dull decision. An unbowed Vargas maintains his fan base but not his bettors.

March both comes in and goes out as a lion.

On March 4th Joe Calzaghe welcomes Jeff Lacy to Manchester UK for what may be the biggest blowout of the headlining bunch. Calzaghe gets the chance to prove his considerable home-based reputation once and for all, but if Lacy creams him as we expect, that glossy record will be severely tarnished.

All Calzaghe has to do is make a respectable stand, but that’s no small task against the rising Lacy. A motivated Calzaghe, songs of England ringing in his ears, could pull a big surprise if he can exploit Lacy’s relatively limited technical development, but that’s a longshot indeed.

It looks like Lacy can get by on power alone. He could soon emerge as a pound-for-pound leader. Old Joe’s hometown advantage will last about two left hooks.

March 11th has the Ides of history to beware for at least one old lion, with farewell (we’ll see) fireworks featuring Roy Jones Jr. against Bernard Hopkins. Less than two years ago they were considered untouchable all time greats. Now between them they’ve lost five in a row.

This goodbye fight is contracted at light heavyweight, for what seems like an oldies night. Hopkins is the senior at age 41 to Jones’s 37, but Roy seems more the grandpa figure, last seen hanging on against Antonio Tarver. Youth, as it were here, will prevail.

This bout was signed quickly as each principal, usually sticklers for favorable contract clauses, agreed to parity in a demonstration of businessman first and fighter second. They may both expect easy marks. How much the boys have left by the time they get down to business remains to be seen. The history books will show this as a climactic career bout between Hall of Famers.

At 175 pounds, Hopkins may be in for rude awakening. Jones may have been more thoroughly outfought recently, but he was rumbling with bigger, tougher men than Jermain Taylor or Howard Eastman. Respectable as he is, Taylor still falls short of the level of Tarver, at least for now. The difference is still fifteen pounds less pop.

It will be quite a feat if Hopkins can stay in the fight, even at Jones’s advanced age. Our stars point to Jones winning in overwhelming fashion.

On March 18th, James Toney meets Hasim Rahman in another pairing of seasoned war-horses.

Toney and Rahman already had their introductions, when they brawled in Mexico during a WBC gathering to bestow Rahman’s new belt. Between formalities, Toney got married, which could bring up the old questions about carnal training.

Let’s hope when they meet in the ring, they restore some of the fire missing from the heavyweights in ‘05.  Toney might have an edge in recent form, but Rahman shows fine tuning he previously lacked. The winner might get newly “crowned’ Nicolai Valuev, an easy payday outside Germany.

Rahman could be the heavyweight that finally makes Toney look like a blown up middleweight. But anything less than a top effort will probably lead to embarrassing night for the Rock and give Toney solid claim to being the true heavyweight champ.

This might not be the most artful fight of the new season, but it could well be the most grueling, and the closest. He who’s faced the better big boys gets the nod. Advantage Rahman.

March 25 features Marco Antonio Barrera, probably the strongest overall claimant to 130 pound honors. The likely opponent is said to be always tough Jesus Chavez.

Chavez seemed rejuvenated when he met Leavander Johnson, but Johnson’s tragic death may have taken some of the steam out of thoughtful Chavez, said to have received Johnson’s family blessing to continue in Leavander’s name. That could mean a lot of inspiration. Either way, if he does meet Chavez, who hung tough with one arm against Erik Morales, Barrera won’t get any slack. The Fates say Chavez, whose wife recently served in Iraq, is a live, live underdog.

Another clash to be King of the Hill finds Floyd Mayweather Jr, arguably the game’s finest practitioner, bumping heads with Zab Judah, one of very few boxers who rivals Mayweather in speed, skills, and brashness.

Their hoedown, scheduled for April 8th, is one of the top pound-for-pound pairings in recent years. Judah will need a career best performance to have a chance of victory. That’s not to say he can’t pull it off, but currently Mayweather is in a different galaxy in terms of punching power. Slow-motion replays may be the only way to follow the flying fists once these two whirlwinds unload.

Mayweather should be around a 4-1 favorite. Judah is good enough to make taking the odds an attractive proposition, since that’s probably as good of odds as one is likely to see on Floyd for a while. Mayweather will stop Judah in his tracks.

The first half of next year is set to conclude with the star power of Oscar De La Hoya, probably against noteworthy foil Ricardo Mayorga on May 6. There could be some snags before a contract is finalized, but if it comes off count on Mayorga for promotional sound bite nastiness. One of the questions is whether or not he’ll be able to get under Oscar’s skin, and it might actually be entertaining to see the classy, model perfect De La Hoya show he’s human and freak out against the Nicaraguan maniac.

Mayorga may have burnt his best bridges already. De La Hoya has not only the boxing skill to negate Mayorga’s offense, but enough power to end it early. If Mayorga rushes in and causes a cut, De La Hoya might get ruffled enough to duck into defense and Mayorga could get a decision that goes to the cards after six rounds or so. It will be wild for as long as it lasts.

Pro boxing, like many sports, had its share of problems during 2005, but there were also many positives. Most notably, as usual, was superior and inspiring action inside the strands. Unless there’s a mass freeze-up at the top, early 2006 figures to see decisive interaction among many well-known fighters.

If even fifty per cent of the aforementioned pairings come to fruition, it’s a strong likelihood the upcoming year has at least one very positive half. Arturo Gatti, Miguel Cotto, Antonio Margarito, Brian Viloria, and Shannon Briggs, to name a few, are also on deck. No matter how you chose to look at or measure mass qualities, there’s still just as much good to be seen.

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