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PREDICTION PAGE: Haye and Khan To Win

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Don't be suprised if Haye stops Chisora early; his style is a perfect match for Chisora.

David Haye-Dereck Chisora:

From a strategical perspective, we already have an idea on how this fight will play out. Dereck Chisora, a swarmer, will be pressing the action,inside his ” Joe Frazier-esque” cross arm defense, looking to close the distance so he can smother and throw his short, wider punches in close.On the other hand, David Haye, unlike Chisora, operates best on the back foot, moving away from his opponent, keeping the distance to allow for straighter, more precise power shots from the outside. In this regard, Haye's style is somewhat reminiscent of current middleweight champion Sergio Martinez -looking to lure his opponent into traps.As a result,we have an almost perfect stylistic contrast -think of Ali-Frazier in terms of what both fighters are trying to accomplish against the other.

I believe this fight comes down to two things: Can Dereck Chisora handle David Haye's power? And if he can, Can David Haye prevent a fight at close quarters?

There should be little to no doubt that Haye will be able to land his overhand right hand from the outside. Chisora may resemble Joe Frazier in terms of his characteristics, but he falls way short in matching Frazier's unbelievable head movement and underrated defense. Frazier was very tough to hit with clean blows as he bobbed and weaved his way inside. Chisora however,is pretty much a straight line attacker, whose main form of defense is his durable chin.If you take a look at his losing effort against Vitali Klitschko, you won't see much variation from Chisora in terms of head movement as Vitali was able to land with his right hand almost at will. Chisora though,was able to absorb Vitali's best shots and just kept coming.

So then, if Vitali Klitschko could not take Chisora out within the distance, then surely David Haye won't be able to neither? Not necessarily.

I believe Vitali's at his best when he's pressing the attack, walking his man down behind his jab and straight right hand. David Haye on the other hand is able to generate tremendous power as he's moving away from his opponent. Haye's best work comes when he's backing up.

As a general rule, I'd usually pick a swarmer over a boxer -thinking of how Ali was given hell by Frazier across three fights, how Alexis Arguello could not handle the relentless pressure of Aaron Pryor and more recently, how Ivan Calderon's high level boxing ability was not enough to out manoeuvre Giovani Segura.This is where David Haye is different from most boxers who fight off the back foot -he's a mover of a different sort. Like he'll probably admit himself,he's from the Roy Jones school of boxing. Haye won't be throwing the jab much.Instead, as Chisora's coming inside, Haye will be feinting and falling in with power shots. I believe Haye's ambush style is the perfect foil for ultra aggressive opponents, who have a tendency to leave themselves open as they are advancing.

Prediction:

The fact that this is a ten round fight does not bode well for Chisora, who will most likely be chasing the fight right from the off. Chisora must set a frenetic pace and not give an inch -Haye mustn't be given the space he requires to let his straighter, faster shots go. If Chisora can cut the ring off and keep Haye in front of him, then Haye's lack of in-fighting skills could be exposed for all to see.

Highly unlikely in my eyes.

I have a feeling that this fight could be over very early. Don't be fooled by Chisora's strong showing against Vitali. David Haye is actually more dangerous than Vitali at fighting off of the back foot. Haye's power,contrary to Vitali's,is not jeopardized when he's moving away from his opponent. Haye moves quicker on the back foot, than Chisora can on the front foot.I will concede that the edge in stamina goes to Chisora {Haye has had problems in the past, remember the Thompson fight?} but I don't think this will be an issue here. I fully expect Haye to have connected with something worthy of ending the fight by around the sixth round. Haye's right hand will be unavoidable for Chisora. Look out for the Haye uppercut, which could also be a huge factor especially as Chisora will likely be crouching low as he's trying to weave his way inside -remember how Frazier was decimated twice by Foreman's uppercut as he closed the distance? Ali's jab by contrast, was nowhere near as effective against Frazier -something to look out for.

Don't be too surprised if we see a blowout from Haye before the mid-way point.

Amir Khan-Danny Garcia:

It's just been announced that this bout will be for the lineal title at 140 pounds. Regardless, I don't view this as a fight between the two best fighters in the division. I think there's quite the gulf in talent between Amir Khan and Danny Garcia, and I think we will see it on Saturday night. Technically speaking, there's not much between them, you could even argue that Garcia is the more proficient fighter from a technical standpoint. Khan however, is the type of fighter who can trump good technical skills with superior athleticism and physical gifts. There aren't many better pure boxers than Paulie Malignaggi, yet he looked like a fish out of water trying to cope with Khan's unpredictable “in and out” style, length and angles.

I'm fully aware that there's a lot of Amir Khan skeptics out there, with most pointing the finger at Khan's lack of an inside game -and rightly so- as a gaping hole in his set up. While this may be true, I think it only becomes relevant against a particular type of opponent. Both Marcos Maidana and Lamont Peterson have a certain toughness and grit to them that most fighters can only dream of. You have to remember, in order for those fighters to get inside on Khan, they both had to take enormous risks as they walked through Khan's offense -both fighters were hurt and dropped early by Khan.

I find it fascinating how far the Garcia camp have gone in trying to antagonize Amir Khan. To me, this is a clear indication that they want Khan to stand and trade with Garcia, which is never going to happen. The deficit in footspeed is gargantuan, and in this, lies Garcia's biggest problem. During the early stages of his last outing, Garcia struggled with Morales' movement as Garcia is at his best when his opponents are stationary, where he can then fire off quick combinations. His left to the body and left to the head is a favourite of his in particular. Khan won't be anywhere near him for this to land I'm afraid. Khan's superior movement, along with his advantages in height and reach will keep the fight where HE wants it. It's not that I consider Garcia a bad fighter, nor Khan a great fighter. I just don't think that Garcia has the mental toughness or footspeed to be able to keep up with, and, exploit Khan's biggest weakness. There's a conflict in styles from where I'm looking in.

Prediction:

Amir Khan's superior hand speed and movement should be far too much for Garcia to contend with, whose own hand speed and footwork by contrast,is pedestrian.Khan will be circling to his left, away from Garcia's best weapon, his left hook, while darting in with rapid fire combinations. By turning his opponent, Khan will reduce Garcia into following him around the ring, trying to land something that could possibly turn the fight around. Garcia's best chance is clearly to get inside on Khan, where Amir's length would count for nothing.I don't think Garcia has the quickness nor grit to get there.I think this fight will be one-sided in Khan's favour. Khan will be controlling the action throughout, using his length, faster hands and quicker reflexes to get in and back out before Garcia has a chance to react. Garcia will be looking to entice Khan to stay within firing range but to no avail. I think it's clear what Khan needs to do to get the win here -keep Garcia on the end of the jab, don't allow Garcia to set himself, which means keep turning him, so that he's moving to his right and against the natural directional flow of his lead left hand.

Khan's superior mobility will be enough to secure a wide decision.

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Charr-Oquendo Scuttled When Charr Tests Positive; the Odious WBA Saves Face

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Manuel Charr

Manuel Charr and Fres Oquendo were scheduled to fight in Cologne, Germany, later this month (Sept. 29). Charr would be defending his WBA world heavyweight title, the “regular” version of it, not the “super” version which rests in the hands of Anthony Joshua.

The bout was quickly cancelled when it was revealed that Charr had tested positive for two banned anabolic steroids. The test was performed by VADA, the anti-doping agency identified with Las Vegas neurologist Dr. Margaret Goodman.

The 33-year-old Charr, born in Lebanon but a resident of Germany since the age of three, won the belt in his last start with a unanimous decision over 281-pound Russian behemoth Alexander Ustinov in Oberhausen, Germany. The title was vacant. Charr won the right to fight for it with a 10-round decision over Albanian slug Sefer Seferi. The victory over Ustinov elevated his record to 31-4. He has been stopped three times, by Vitali Klitschko, Alexander Povetkin, and Mairis Briedis.

If it wasn’t for bad luck, as the old saying goes, Fres Oquendo wouldn’t have any luck at all. For various reasons, his fights keep falling out. Before long he’ll be drawing social security. Well, not exactly, but he turned 45 in April and hasn’t fought in more than four years.

Oquendo has competed for this belt before. In his last ring appearance in July of 2014, he lost a majority decision to Russia’s Ruslan Chagaev in Grozny, Russia. As a concession for taking the fight on short notice, Team Oquendo negotiated a rematch clause in the contract, but a shoulder injury prevented Fres from activating it. When the injury healed, he had to go to court to compel Chagaev to fulfill his obligation. But then the Russian retired, muddling the water.

The WBA was legally bound to find Oquendo a title fight and in desperation turned to ancient Shannon Briggs. But the Oquendo-Briggs fight, scheduled for June 3 of last year in Hollywood, Florida, fell out when Briggs’ urine specimen showed an abnormally high level of testosterone.

Fres Oquendo was dogged by bad luck even before these recent developments. His professional record, 37-8, is somewhat misleading as six of his eight defeats were razor-thin including his 2003 setback to Chris Byrd and his 2006 setback to Evander Holyfield. However, Oquendo, something of a cutie, was never a crowd-pleaser and in none of his narrow defeats was there a public clamor for a rematch.

The cancellation of Charr-Oquendo cuts the World Boxing Association out of a sanctioning fee, but one would think that the WBA honchos are actually rather pleased by this turn of events. The fight, more precisely the WBA’s world title imprimatur, would have brought more unwanted publicity to the Panama-based organization.

ESPN’s Dan Rafael, who has the largest platform of any boxing writer, has been a persistent critic of the organization which once recognized 41 “champions” in 17 weight classes. In 2009, Rafael wrote, “(The WBA) has become such an absolute farce that even somebody like me, who follows boxing closely, sometimes has a hard time keeping track of all the nonsensical so-called world title belts the WBA has been doling out at an alarming rate. It almost reminds me of the ladies at Costco who hand out various samples on a busy Saturday afternoon.”

Rafael took note when WBA president Gilberto Mendoza promised to cull the herd by eliminating “regular” titles, and then became more caustic when Mendoza didn’t follow through. Recently, in one short, punchy diatribe, Rafael blistered the WBA as wretched, vile, and rancid.

Regardless of your opinion, it’s hard not to feel sorry for Fres Oquendo who keeps getting stranded at the altar. No, he’s not fun to watch and a man of his age shouldn’t be taking any more punches, but he has always been an honest workman and by all accounts he’s a very decent man. Born in Puerto Rico but raised in Chicago, Oquendo pitched right in when the island nation of his birth was ravaged by Hurricane Maria. He was personally responsible for relocating Puerto Rican boxing legend Wilfred Benitez and Benitez’s sister, his caregiver, to Chicago where their lives wouldn’t be as hard.

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Bob Arum Hails Terence Crawford (not Lomachenko) as Boxing’s Next Superstar

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Arum says Terence

Top Rank’s Bob Arum says Terence Crawford will become this generation’s Floyd Mayweather or Manny Pacquiao–elite boxers who became worldwide celebrity sensations. Arum, who promoted both Mayweather and Pacquiao on the way to their historic crossover statuses expects big things from the undefeated Crawford over the next few years.

“He’s the best fighter in the United States, and he’s so charismatic,” said Arum. “He comes from middle America, and In the next year or so, he will be huge.”

Arum’s assertion is noteworthy for two reasons. First, Arum is also the promoter for Vasyl Lomachenko. Lomachenko is ranked No. 1 pound-for-pound by The Ring, the Boxing Writers Association of America and the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. More importantly, Lomachenko seems to have a groundswell of support behind him both in the media and among fight fans.

Lomachenko has also been heavily featured through Top Rank’s television partnership with ESPN. While Crawford has achieved more in his career than Lomachenko (at least in my eyes) and, as noted by Arum, is a homegrown American talent, Lomachenko seems to be considered the more marketable commodity to that network judging by the amount of promotional materials ESPN has pumped out about the fighter over the last year.

The other reason Arum’s claim about Crawford is interesting is the performance of Canelo Alvarez over the weekend in his majority decision rematch win over Gennady Golovkin. Besides Mayweather and Pacquiao, Alvarez is the clear PPV leader among all of boxing’s current commodities, and his status as boxing’s new money fighter should only grow stronger after the best win of his career.

Still, Crawford is one of the few very elite fighters in all of boxing. He’s ranked No. 2 pound-for-pound by The Ring, the Boxing Writers Association of America and the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board.

While Lomachenko and Alvarez are also candidates to become boxing’s next big thing, there’s no doubt Crawford is also one of the few boxers in the sport right now with the right things in place to become the next Mayweather or Pacquiao.

Omaha’s Crawford is in the midst of an historic run. When he stopped Jeff Horn in round 9 at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas in June, Crawford captured a world title in his third different weight class, welterweight. This after Crawford had already captured two lineal boxing championships, as well as multiple alphabet titles, in both the lightweight and junior welterweight divisions.

By any measure, Crawford is truly one of the best boxers in the sport. Not only does he look the part in the ring on fight night (something more and more writers seem to value most when voting for pound-for-pound lists), but the fighter has already accomplished so much in his career that it seems Arum is doing more than the fiduciary duty of promoting his fighter when he ascribes to Crawford such lofty praise.

Crawford, still just 30 years old, is already halfway to matching Mayweather and Pacquiao’s shared record of most lineal championships. Over the course of his career, Mayweather captured lineal championships at junior lightweight, lightweight, welterweight, and junior middleweight. Pacquiao won his as a flyweight, featherweight, junior lightweight, and junior welterweight.

In order for Crawford to grab lineal championship No. 3, most believe he’ll have to go through welterweight phenom Errol Spence. While promotional entanglements might keep this superfight on the shelf for a while, Arum said he had no problem pitting Crawford against Spence in what would be one of the best matchups in recent memory.

“Absolutely,” said Arum when asked about working with Al Haymon’s Premier Boxing Champions, who represents Spence, to make the fight. Could any response from him be more exciting? Crawford vs. Spence might be the next superfight in boxing. Both fighters are among the very elite, and unlike what ultimately happened with Mayweather vs. Pacquiao, who fought each other well past their peak years, both would be in the prime of their careers.

Winning that fight would certainly go a long way to making Arum’s vision of Crawford’s future come true. And who knows? Maybe Crawford really is the next Mayweather or Pacquiao. Heck, for all we know, he could even be on his way to doing something more.

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A Kaleidoscope of Boxers Guaranteed to Provide Action: Past and Present

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Marvelous Marvin

To set the tone for this article, one needs only to watch the way in which Thomas Hearns came out in the first round against Marvelous Marvin Hagler. He was ready to rock and roll as was his fearsome looking opponent. The ensuing unmitigated savagery was the quintessential illustration of full-tilt boogie.

For most boxing fans, the anticipation of an all-out action bout gets the chills running down spines faster than anything else. But not all, as some prefer a tactical or clinical fight that someone like Mikey Garcia can orchestrate and others –but not many—enjoy a defensive gem via a Willie Pep, Nicolino Locche, or Pernell Whitaker. A few love a genuine blood fest that a Gabe Rosado-type can provide, and who doesn’t like seeing something special as in Sugar Ray Leonard, Kostya Tszyu, Terence Crawford or Vasiliy Lomachenko?

Chill-or-be-chilled types like Bob Satterfield and Tommy Morrison were super exciting. In this connection—a certain cadre of warriors, past and present, would come out charging and stalking as soon as the bell rang. Many demonstrated a marked disdain for defense and used a non-stop, no let-up pressure that discouraged their opponents, especially in the late rounds. The anticipation from the crowd was palpable because it sensed some form of destruction was on its way. The cheering would start during the instructions and sometimes did not let up until the concussive end.

This cadre included Rocky Marciano, Tony Ayala, Vicious Victor Galindez, Jeff Fenech, Roberto Duran, and Julio Cesar Chavez (who sapped the spirit of his opponents by ripping away at their mid-section). Also, Carl “The Cat”  Thompson , chill-or-be-chilled Ricardo “Pajarito” Moreno (60-12-1 with 59 KOs),  Ron Lyle, the ultra-violent Edwin Valero, the appropriately nicknamed JulianMr KO” Letterlough, James “The Outlaw” Hughes and his mindboggling ability to snatch victory from certain defeat, Thai stalking monster Khaosai Galaxy (47-1),  the first version of George Foreman (pictured with the aforementioned Lyle), Ji-Hoon “Volcano” Kim, Ruslan  Provodnikov, Orlando “Siri” Salido, Marcos Maidana, Lenny Z, Alfredo “Perro” Angulo, Mike Alvarado, Brandon Rios, and Mickey Roman (the later four are still fighting but past their primes).

Others who presently incite the anticipation of something special include (but are not limited to) Naoya “Monster” Inoue (16-0), Errol “The Truth” Spence Jr (24-0), Srisaket Sor Rungvisai (46-4-1), Alex Saucedo (27-0), and, of course, Gennady “GGG” Golovkin (38-1-1) who now has become slightly more tactical like his nemesis, Canelo Alvarez (50-1-1).

These stand out as representative.

Past

A prime Mike Tyson—and the emphasis is on prime– was the epitome of a boxer who guaranteed action. One simply would not leave his or her seat when “Iron Mike” was doing his highlight reel thing, and his blowout of Michael Spinks punctuated his standing at the top of all-action type fighters, even if the action was usually non-mutual.

Joe Frazier came out smokin’ and would not let up until either he or his opponent were done. For the most part, decisions were not in Joe’s DNA and his left hook was as malicious as a hook can be. With Joe, you just sat back and enjoyed the action. Frazier, wrote boxing historian Tracy Callis,  “was a strong, ‘swarmer’ style boxer who applied great pressure on his opponent and dealt out tremendous punishment with a relentless attack of lefts and rights; His left hook was especially stiff and quick when delivered during his bob-and-weave perpetual attack; he fought three minutes per round and never seemed to tire.”

Carlos “Escopeta” (Shotgun) Monzon (87-3-9) was a powerful and rangy Argentinean killing machine, built like an iron rod. Some said he pushed his punches. Well if he did, he pushed 87 opponents to defeat. He also became only the second man to stop former three-time world champion Emile Griffith, turning the trick in the 14th round. Blessed with great and deceptive stamina and a solid chin, he seemingly was an irresistible force. He was unbeaten over the last 81 bouts of his career, a span of 13 years, and defended his title 14 times. “One would need to write a book in order to do justice to comparing a fighter of Carlos Monzon’s calibre to his fellow all-time greats,” wrote Mike Casey.

Arturo Gatti and Irish Micky Ward were the quintessential action fighters. One is gone amidst controversy, and hopefully the other will not pay a price for his many ring wars. With these two, just count up the Fights-of-the-Year and the rest is history. Suffice it to say that Gatti and Ward will be forever linked in boxing lore.

Until his fateful fight with Nigel Benn (another all-action fighter), Gerald McClellan was absolutely, positively, a stalking monster with dynamite in his gloves. It was ferocity and fury at its highest level and it was something to behold. Sadly, his fight with Benn left him permanently disabled; his story remains a dark stain on boxing. As Ian McNeilly notes, “one man’s finest hour was the end of another man’s life as he knew it.”

Michael “The Great” Katsidis’s all-action style made thrilling fights a lock. The Kat” was willing to take three to deliver one. It was blood and guts to the last drop. Whether he too exacted a heavy price for this style remains to be seen.

Lucia Rijker, AKA “The Dutch Destroyer,” lived up to her moniker and destroyed everyone in her path. Again, it wasn’t “if,” it was “when.”

Christy Martin (49-7-3) put female boxing on the map in the ‘90s and she did it by going undefeated in 36 straight encounters, running roughshod over her opponents as evidenced by her 25 wins by stoppage during this run. She also managed to steal the show from a Mike Tyson main event in 1996 during her memorable and bloody battle with Deirdre Gogarty.

Present

Deontay Wilder, aka “The Bronze Bomber,” has a record of 40-0.  With 39 wins coming by KO—many in spectacular fashion, The “Bomber” brings with him that same sense of anticipation that Tyson did. It’s not if; it’s when and “when” can occur at any time. But unlike Tyson, there is a vulnerability that Luis Ortiz exposed that makes the excitement index go even higher.

Dillian Whyte (24-1) has seldom been in a dull affair. His vulnerability combined with his mode of attack ensures thrilling action and the possibility of a stoppage at any time. Unlike Dereck “Del-Boy” Chisora, Whyte is consistently aggressive and dangerous.

Manny Pacquiao (60-7-2) has slowed down considerably but his recent stoppage win over Lucas Matthysse offers hope that he can still conjure up his exciting whirlwind style of fast in-an-out movements that allowed him to win multiple titles over several future Hall of Fame opponents between 2005 and 2011. A rematch with Floyd Mayweather Jr., if rumors are true, would allow Pac Man an opportunity to accomplish a number of extraordinary things including avenging a prior defeat and ruining Mayweather’s undefeated record. Time will tell.

Though he appears to have shot his wad, a prime Antonio Margarito was the classic stalk, stun, and kill fighter. Heck, he belonged on the Discovery Channel. His two blowouts of Kermit Cintron showed the “Tijuana Tornado” at his most brutal. His come-from-behind demolition of Miguel Cotto stands out for its drama and bloodletting—and subsequent speculative controversy.

David Lemieux (39-4) always brings the heat. His fights seldom end as scheduled. With KO power in both hands and a propensity to rehydrate by 20 pounds, he is the essence of danger and attendant excitement. “With the sheer power he carries, Lemieux will always have a shot at beating any middleweight, and he is almost always involved in good action fights,” says James Slater.

Amanda Serrano (35-1-1) is the only women’s boxer to win world titles in six divisions. The “Real Deal” is unique in that she has a high KO percentage (74 percent) which is rare for female boxers. Amanda is 120 seconds of guaranteed action for each round.

                                                         **********

While Iron Mike Tyson is THE MAN, Matthew Saad Muhammad also warrants special billing as he embodied what this article is all about. Steve Farhood summed up the essence of Saad Muhammad with an observation that would be appropriate for his tombstone: “Eddie Gregory (Mustafa Muhammad) has a better jab, Marvin Johnson wields more power, James Scott does more sit ups. But, Muhammad’s heart is the size of a turnbuckle, and it anchors his title reign.”

Who did I leave out? Whose name or names would you add to this list?

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