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Abraham- Murray : Final Euro-Bureau Odds
A DEUTSCH COIN FLIP – Miguel Cotto – Canelo Alvarez isn’t the only excellent event unfolding in the middleweight range tonight. Arthur Abraham’s pick ‘em tilt against Martin Murray doesn’t have that Vegas glitz, but their battle in a relatively subdued Hannover, Germany could produce just as dramatic boxing results.
When a high-profile,“friendly” football/soccer match in Hannover between Germany and the Netherlands was cancelled at the last minute due to terrorist concerns earlier this week, it raised the location’s stakes.
Should Abraham win this intriguing WBO title defense against well-seasoned Murray, he’s looking at what could be his biggest fights yet, including a nice retirement payday against Bernard Hopkins, who has expressed an interest.
If Gennady Golovkin is as awesome as many observers seem to think, Murray has a very decent chance to finally win a recognizable title. From the respectably violent ringside vibe in Monaco last February, Murray did not seem out of his league for much of the match against GGG.
That said, the punch I saw Abraham splatter Robert Stieglitz with in July looked harder than anything Golovkin landed against Murray.
If overall consistency is the key then Murray is probably the favorite, but trainer Ulli Wegner has managed to draw regular improvements from the somewhat mechanical Abraham and if that trend continues, Abraham might look more formidable than ever, which would mean big trouble for Murray.
The intangible is how Murray performs at 168 after championship losses for middleweight belts. That’s a deceiving clue because he began his career at super-middleweight and has fought at light-heavy. Murray might actually be much stronger tonight than he was in those previous contests.
This is, indeed, a worthy title fight. When Andre Ward announced he was moving up to light heavyweight it created a situation where the Abraham – Murray victor has a legitimate claim to divisional honors. With today’s catch-weight hypotheticals, there’s no guarantee how Cotto and Canelo might fare against Abraham and Murray in a round-robin rumble.
Odds to win : -110 Murray (win 1.00 per 1.10 bet)
Odds to win : +110 Abraham (win 1.10 per 1.00 bet)
Either fighter to score knockdown : 8 – 1 against (win 8 per 1 bet)
Both fighters to score knockdown : 25 – 1 against
Draw : 3 – 1 (fair chance of early accidental cut)
DQ : 50 – 1 ( both men true sportsman/pros)
Relatively small group of British visitors to make more noise than much larger German crowd : quite likely mate
Relatively small group of British visitors to drink as much beer as much larger German crowd : quite possibly mate
Brits to handle their beer as well as Germans : quite impossible mate
This shapes up like one of those fights where the outcome is clear by the second round.
If Murray stays on his toes during those six minutes, moving in and out with combinations while Abraham follows him around the ring, I’d look for the visitor to score a late round TKO.
If Abraham has landed even just a couple looping thuds as he forces, not follows, Murray backward the local favorite will likely wear his challenger down for a two-point victory. If King Arthur somehow scores a bigger win against Murray than Golovkin did, the spoils of Monte Carlo loom large.
In prestige and global time zones, Abraham-Murray is definitely a warm-up act to Canelo – Cotto. That doesn’t mean the euro-boys can’t steal the show on another great boxing weekend.
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2015 Fight of the Year – Francisco Vargas vs Takashi Miura
The WBC World Super Featherweight title bout between Francisco Vargas and Takashi Miura came on one of the biggest boxing stages of 2015, as the bout served as the HBO pay-per-view’s co-main event on November 21st, in support of Miguel Cotto vs Saul Alvarez.
Miura entered the fight with a (29-2-2) record and he was making the fifth defense of his world title, while Vargas entered the fight with an undefeated mark of (22-0-1) in what was his first world title fight. Both men had a reputation for all-out fighting, with Miura especially earning high praise for his title defense in Mexico where he defeated Sergio Thompson in a fiercely contested battle.
The fight started out hotly contested, and the intensity never let up. Vargas seemed to win the first two rounds, but by the fourth round, Miura seemed to pull ahead, scoring a knock-down and fighting with a lot of confidence. After brawling the first four rounds, Miura appeared to settle into a more technical approach. Rounds 5 and 6 saw the pendulum swing back towards Vargas, as he withstood Miura’s rush to open the fifth round and the sixth round saw both men exchanging hard punches.
The big swinging continued, and though Vargas likely edged Miura in rounds 5 and 6, Vargas’ face was cut in at least two spots and Miura started to assert himself again in rounds 7 and 8. Miura was beginning to grow in confidence while it appeared that Vargas was beginning to slow down, and Miura appeared to hurt Vargas at the end of the 8th round.
Vargas turned the tide again at the start of the ninth round, scoring a knock down with an uppercut and a straight right hand that took Miura’s legs and sent him to the canvas. Purely on instinct, Miura got back up and continued to fight, but Vargas was landing frequently and with force. Referee Tony Weeks stepped in to stop the fight at the halfway point of round 9 as Miura was sustaining a barrage of punches.
Miura still had a minute and a half to survive if he was going to get out of the round, and it was clear that he was not going to stop fighting.
A back and forth battle of wills between two world championship level fighters, Takashi Miura versus “El Bandido” Vargas wins the 2015 Fight of the Year.
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Jan 9 in Germany – Feigenbutz and De Carolis To Settle Score
This coming Saturday, January 9th, the stage is set at the Baden Arena in Offenburg, Germany for a re-match between Vincent Feigenbutz and Giovanni De Carolis. The highly anticipated re-match is set to air on SAT.1 in Germany, and Feigenbutz will once again be defending his GBU and interim WBA World titles at Super Middleweight.
The first meeting between the two was less than three months ago, on October 17th and that meeting saw Feigenbutz controversially edge De Carolis on the judge’s cards by scores of (115-113, 114-113 and 115-113). De Carolis scored a flash knock down in the opening round, and he appeared to outbox Feigenbutz in the early going, but the 20 year old German champion came on in the later rounds.
The first bout is described as one of the most crowd-pleasing bouts of the year in Germany, and De Carolis and many observers felt that the Italian had done enough to win.
De Carolis told German language website RAN.DE that he was more prepared for the re-match, and that due to the arrogance Feigenbutz displayed in the aftermath of the first fight, he was confident that he had won over some of the audience. Though De Carolis fell short of predicting victory, he promised a re-vamped strategy tailored to what he has learned about Feigenbutz, whom he termed immature and inexperienced.
The stage is set for Feigenbutz vs De Carolis 2, this Saturday January 9th in Offenburg, Germany. If you can get to the live event do it, if not you have SAT.1 in Germany airing the fights, and The Boxing Channel right back here for full results.
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2015 Knock Out of the Year – Saul Alvarez KO’s James Kirkland
On May 9th of 2015, Saul “Canelo” Alvarez delivered a resonant knock-out of James Kirkland on HBO that wins the 2015 KO of the Year.
The knock-out itself came in the third round, after slightly more than two minutes of action. The end came when Alvarez delivered a single, big right hand that caught Kirkland on the jaw and left him flat on his back after spinning to the canvas.Alvarez was clearly the big star heading into the fight. The fight was telecast by HBO for free just one week after the controversial and disappointing Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Manny Pacquiao fight, and Alvarez was under pressure to deliver the type of finish that people were going to talk about. Kirkland was happy to oblige Alvarez, taking it right to Alvarez from the start. Kirkland’s aggression saw him appear to land blows that troubled the young Mexican in the early going. Alvarez played good defense, and he floored Kirkland in the first round, displaying his power and his technique in knocking down an aggressive opponent.
However, Kirkland kept coming at Alvarez and the fight entered the third round with both men working hard and the feeling that the fight would not go the distance. Kirkland continued to move forward, keeping “Canelo” against the ropes and scoring points with a barrage of punches while looking for an opening.
At around the two minute mark, Alvarez landed an uppercut that sent Kirkland to the canvas again. Kirkland got up, but it was clear that he did not have his legs under him. Kirkland was going to try to survive the round, but Alvarez had an opportunity to close out the fight. The question was would he take it?
Alvarez closed in on Kirkland, putting his opponent’s back to the ropes. Kirkland was hurt, but he was still dangerous, pawing with punches and loading up for one big shot.
But it was the big shot “Canelo” threw that ended the night. Kirkland never saw it coming, as he was loading up with a huge right hand of his own. The right Alvarez threw cracked Kirkland in the jaw, and his eyes went blank. His big right hand whizzed harmlessly over the head of a ducking Alvarez, providing the momentum for the spin that left Kirkland prone on the canvas.
Saul “Canelo” Alvarez went on to defeat Miguel Cotto in his second fight of 2015 and he is clearly one of boxing’s biggest stars heading into 2016. On May 9th Alvarez added another reel to his highlight film when he knocked out James Kirkland with the 2015 “Knock Out of the Year”.
Photo by naoki fukuda
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