Articles of 2005
Hopkins Should Fight Taylor Now or Never
Minutes after making the record-extending 20th consecutive defense of his undisputed middleweight title, the boxing world was abuzz over who Bernard Hopkins would fight next. Hopkins has certainly come along way since stopping Felix Trinidad as a 3-1 underdog more than three years ago.
It’s hard to believe there was a time when Hopkins was the least appreciated champion in boxing. With his win over Howard Eastman this past Saturday night, Hopkins joined an elite boxing fraternity. He is one of just four champions to make 20 or more successful world title defenses, and one of only four fighters to win a world title bout at age forty or older, along with George Foreman, Archie Moore, and Bob Fitzsimmons.
With his legacy as an all-time great solidly in place, Hopkins is looking to do one of two things. He either wants to break the bank earning a record payday, or he wants to make history. The fight that could add Hopkins' name to another page of boxing history would see him moving up to fight undisputed light heavyweight champion Glen Johnson. Hopkins stopped Johnson eight years ago when Johnson was undefeated in 32 fights.
A win over Johnson would make Hopkins the first middleweight champion in history to move up and in his first fight beat the reigning light heavyweight champion. Something only the great Sugar Ray Robinson attempted, but failed to do when he couldn't answer the bell for round 14 against light heavyweight champ Joey Maxim 53 years ago.
If a fight with Johnson can't be made, a rematch with three time champ Felix Trinidad would be a huge pay-per-view event. A second fight between Hopkins and Trinidad could net Hopkins the biggest purse of his career. Trinidad, who lost his portion of the middleweight title to Hopkins, only fought once after that loss and retired for two years. Trinidad returned to the ring late last year and stopped Ricardo Mayorga in eight rounds. Tito has said through the media that the main reason he came back was to seek a second fight with Hopkins. The perception of Trinidad being unbeatable was shattered by Hopkins back on September 29, 2001. Hopkins methodically took Trinidad apart and dominated him throughout the fight before stopping him in the 12th round.
If fights with Johnson and Trinidad can’t be worked out, there is Jermain Taylor. At 26, Taylor is currently being touted by many boxing observers as the heir apparent to Hopkins for middleweight supremacy. Taylor fought the co-feature on the Hopkins-Eastman card and looked impressive stopping undefeated Daniel Edouard in three rounds. After beating Edouard, Taylor said he's tired of waiting and wants to fight Hopkins next. “If we get the opportunity [to fight Hopkins] we're going to take it, because we think Jermain is ready for it,” said Lou DiBella, Taylor's promoter. “Bernard's great. But he's a great 40-year-old fighter.”
As I wrote before Hopkins fought Eastman and Taylor fought Edouard, I believe DiBella, who currently calls the shots for Taylor, believes Hopkins is ready to be taken. And that is by no means false optimism on DiBella's part. Hopkins did not physically overwhelm Eastman in their fight. He was calculating and purposefully called on his ring savvy and the experience gained from winning 19 championship fights over the last 10 years. In the end it was Hopkins superior ring generalship and poise that Eastman couldn't overcome, more than Hopkins physical superiority.
At age 40, Hopkins is no longer the same fighter physically who stopped Trinidad, but nothing gets him out of his game and he never panics or loses his cool. And like many other past great fighters, when their physical strength and skills began to erode, they found other ways to win. Which is exactly what Hopkins did against Eastman in his last fight. Eastman was capable of giving Hopkins a very hard fight physically. Only Hopkins got into Eastman's head and planted seeds of doubt. Hopkins making Eastman slightly doubt himself may have been just enough to keep Eastman from fighting at a measured pace, so Hopkins didn't have to tax his 40-year-old body having to fight him off.
If Bernard Hopkins has any intention of fighting Jermain Taylor before he retires from boxing, he better fight him in his next fight, or he should never fight him. Hopkins is now at the point in his career where he could show up in his next fight as an empty package. He's probably not there yet, and that's why he should fight Taylor next. With each passing day Hopkins gets older and Taylor has someone else tell him that Hopkins is ready to be beat to help boast his confidence.
If you compare Taylor and Eastman, it's not hard to make a case for Taylor being the more formidable opponent. Taylor is physically bigger, he hits harder with both hands, has a better jab and throws more punches. He’s also 26, eight years younger than the 34-year-old Eastman. Something else Taylor has that Eastman didn't is the benefit of seeing the mistakes Eastman made and learning from them. If nothing else, Taylor's brain trust must have seen that if he is to have any chance at all to beat Hopkins, he has to take the fight to him starting in round one.
Taylor has to push the fight and set a fast pace. Anything short of that will result in his being schooled by the master up close and personal. Taylor cannot beat Hopkins in a fight that is fought at a measured pace. He can't outthink Hopkins, nor can he try to anticipate what he'll do and then react to it. That's a sure plan for disaster. Taylor has to take full advantage of the only asset he has over Hopkins: his youth. By forcing Hopkins to fight, it reduces the chances of Hopkins setting traps for him and getting into his head.
I believe that Jermain Taylor's 26-year-old body is capable of beating Bernard Hopkins' 40-year-old body. Although I don't see it as a given, it's very likely from what transpired in each of their last fights. But Hopkins may still have just enough left physically, combined with his experience and toughness, to get past Taylor. That's why Hopkins should fight Taylor next, before Taylor fully develops as a fighter mentally and emotionally.
If Hopkins fights Taylor and beats him, a fight with Trinidad will still be there. And if Johnson beats Tarver again in their rematch, then the fight with Johnson will still be an option. And Hopkins doesn't have to be quite as good physically for either Trinidad or Johnson, the way he would have to be for Taylor. With Johnson being 36 and Trinidad being 32, they could easily show up in their next fight with nothing left but their name. And let’s not forget that Hopkins shutout Johnson and Trinidad before he stopped them when they fought. So he's already inside their head having defeated them in a convincing fashion.
If Hopkins has it in his mind that he wants to fight Taylor before hanging up his gloves, these are the waning moments of what's left of his last chance to beat him. Everyday the fight is prolonged, Hopkins gets older and Taylor gains experience. The next time Bernard Hopkins defends his undisputed middleweight championship, it should be against the fighter deemed by many to be his successor, Jermain Taylor. Or he should never fight him.
Articles of 2005
In Boxing News: Floyd Mayweather An All-Time Great, Valuev & More
A Shot of Boxing on the Last Day of the Year
The Guardian reports that talks have already taken place between Nicolay Valuev‘s co-promoters – Don King and Wilfried Sauerland – and Danny Williams‘ promoter Frank Warren for Nicolay Valuev to face Danny Williams. I’d suggest Danny Williams needs to worry about Matt Skelton (who Williams is reportedly scheduled to fight in February) before he entertains notions of facing the Beast From The East.
The Mirror in the UK looks forward to a big year in boxing for 2006. The Mirror considers what the future might bring for Joe Calzaghe, Amir Khan and Ricky Hatton, among others.
The Parksville Qualicum News has an interesting column on the travails of former Canadian Super Middleweight title holder Mark Woolnough. Woolnough’s career turned controversial – as widely reported in the Canadian press – at the beginning of this year when Woolnough and four other men were charged with manslaughter and assault after a fight outside a Parksville nightclub. The case returns to court next month. It’s an interesting read, as Woolnough is still looking to the future with hope.
Our own Marc Lichtenfeld provides plenty of food for thought with his Top Ten Wish List for boxing in the New Year. There’s plenty of good stuff here, but what really jumped out for me is Lichtenfeld’s opinion that a win over Zab Judah could have Floyd Mayweather knocking on the door of all-time great status. Seems to me this might be jumping the gun a little. Or is Marc right? Will it soon be time to call Floyd Mayweather Jr. an all-time great?
(More Boxing News Links at TheSweetScience.com)
Articles of 2005
ShoBox Friday Night Fights
Hot bantamweight prospect Raul “The Cobra” Martinez heads back to Chicago next Friday night as he is featured in the co-main event of SHOBOX “THE NEW GENERATION,” an action packed evening of professional boxing presented by Dominic Pesoli’s 8 Count Productions,’ HOME OF THE BEST IN CHICAGO BOXING, Kathy Duva’s Main Events Inc., along with Miller Lite and TCF Bank.
The two-time national amateur champion sporting a perfect 12-0 record with 9 knockouts, six of which have come in the first round, will take on Colombian Andres “Andy Boy” Ledesma, 13-1 (8 KOs) in a scheduled eight round bout.
Speaking after a training session at his home gym in Georgetown, Texas, Martinez said, “I’m truly looking forward to returning to Chicago. The fans were terrific in September, they were very supportive from the start of the fight,” an internationally televised first round knockout of Miguel Martinez on September 16th at the Aragon Ballroom.
Regarding his upcoming fight with Ledesma, “The Cobra” said, “I haven’t seen him fight, although I understand he’s fought at higher weights and will be naturally bigger than me. I’ve had great training for this fight and feel very confident. I really haven’t left the gym in months, just taking off Sunday’s and even then I get my running in. My thinking is that fights are won in the gym and complete preparation is the key.”
When asked about his being mentioned by Dan Rafael, ESPN’s boxing writer as one of the top prospect’s in the boxing world the 23-year-old San Antonio native said, ‘It’s a great compliment, but I still have much work to do. I want to be a champion for Main Events like Fernando Vargas and Arturo Gatti. But like Fernando said while he was in town, ‘be patient, work hard and your time will come.’”
Finishing the conversation, Martinez said, “I’m looking forward to starting out this year with a bang. I might have a couple less fights than the seven I had in 2005, but I’m looking to stepping up the competition, move up to ten-rounders and climb in the rankings.”
Headlining the evening is a ten-round welterweight showdown between boxing’s hottest prospect, unbeaten Joel Julio of Monteria, Columbia, and Ugandan native Roberto “The Doctor” Kamya. Julio, turning 21 years old the day before the fight, is 25-0 with 22 knockouts, twelve of which have come in the first two rounds. Kamya, now fighting out of West Palm Beach, Florida is 15-5 with four knockouts.
Tickets, starting at $30, are on sale in advance by calling 312-226-5800. Cicero Stadium is located at 1909 S. Laramie, at the corner of 19th and Laramie, just ten minutes south of the Eisenhower Expressway and ten minutes north of the Stevenson Expressway. Doors for this evening will open at 6pm with the first bell at 7pm.
The full bout lineup for the evening is:
Joel Julio vs. Roberto Kamya, ten rounds, welterweights
Raul Martinez vs. Andres Ledesma, eight rounds, bantamweights
Miguel Hernandez vs. Butch Hajicek, eight rounds, middleweights
David Pareja vs. Derek Andrews, eight rounds, light heavyweights
Mike Gonzales vs. Tony Kinney, four rounds, lightweights
Omar Reyes vs. Luis Navarro, five rounds, featherweights
Reynaldo Reyes vs. Ricardo Swift, four rounds, middleweights
Articles of 2005
Pick ‘Em: Plenty of Big Upcoming Fights in ’06
Here’s the early call on many top matches scheduled for the first half of 2006: Happy New Year!
As the new calendar dawns, there are already a considerable amount of premium bouts on the horizon. Things don’t look to be bogged down by undetermined championships next year. In many cases the scheduled face-offs involve the best fighters in the division, or at least close enough for general bragging rights. If anybody else with proper qualifications signs up to force the issue, all the better.
It can be argued that some pairings could have taken place within a more optimal timeframe, or that some headliners carry distracting baggage, but there are certainly enough heavy hitters on deck. That nobody can deny.
It doesn’t matter whether one considers the proverbial glass half empty or half full; there’s still the same amount of juice in the vessel. It’s nice to know that even with a high number of cancellations, there will still be plenty of important contenders on tap.
With elite fighters in weight divisions from top to bottom on the agenda, it’s an equivalent to what fans in more mainstream sports expect in a consistent championship format.
Baseball fans can almost always count on a World Series. Some hoops fanatics say too much attention to playoffs distracts unmotivated NBA teams during their regular season. In college, they project Sweet Sixteens. Football fans know there’s always a Super Bowl ahead to raise advertising dollars and test the USA’s halftime morals.
So too, there is method in boxing’s current madness.
The midnight crystal ball hasn’t even been unveiled in Times Square and there are already a number of potential thrillers scheduled. Most feature contrasting personalities that almost guarantee going along for the ride will be worthwhile. Any subsequent drops will probably be cheered.
Don King jumps right out of the auld lang gate with a January 7th Showtime card featuring Zab Judah against Carlos Baldomir and Jean-Marc Mormeck in a cruiserweight unification against O’Neil Bell.
It will be the upset of the year, bar none, if Baldomir can tip the applecart before Judah gets to his scheduled super-showdown with Floyd Mayweather Jr. Meanwhile, Mormeck is emerging and should keep on rolling against Bell, who can expose him if he’s not for real.
The proverbial Big Bang starts with a January 21st rematch of one of the finest fights of ‘05, when Erik Morales goes against Manny Pacquaio for the second time on HBO pay per view. The fact that Morales was upset by Zahir Raheem after beating Pacquaio was no real loss in box-office luster. Artful Raheem will get a spot on the undercard and hope his patience is rewarded.
Everyone figures Morales and Pacquaio will pick up where they left off. Like the first time, the rematch is a pick’em contest. Management distractions and glove restrictions cited as Pacquaio’s previous problems won’t matter this time. The two are very evenly matched and their styles will make for another whapathon. It could come down to corners, where Freddie Roach gets the edge since Morales will have a new trainer for the first time since replacing his father after the Raheem lesson.
February features four of the game’s most enduring attractions, in a pair of crucial matchups.
First up, Showtime presents the Jose Luis Castillo – Diego Corrales tiebreaker from El Paso on Feb 4th. This is another pick ‘em pair, barring any sideshow. In boxing that disclaimer may be a stretch, since the sideshow is part of the act and the charm.
As far as action inside the strands goes, every round these guys have fought has been great. There’s no reason to think that pattern won’t continue. Regarding the result, Castillo keeps the pressure on as he did in the second fight, but he’ll walk into trouble from a more reserved Corrales. We still don’t know which coin to flip.
February also holds a better late than never affair between two perennial favorites as Shane Mosley collides with Fernando Vargas on the 25th. This fight could lead to a winning ticket in the Golden Boy sweepstakes for a fall bonanza against Oscar De La Hoya.
Vargas has been in tougher recently, based on comparable strength of opposition stats, but he’s seen little action. What weight they enter the ring at may have a lot to do with the result. If Vargas has to struggle at the scale, Mosley might have the battle in the bag after round nine.
It’s hard to imagine Mosley getting stopped early, but Vargas doesn’t have to hurt him, he just has to knock him down three times. With natural size, he may be able to do just that, but Mosley would have to box uncharacteristically flat.
Unless Mosley decides to heed the crowd, the most likely scenario is that Shane plays it safe, picks a few shots, and stays away enough to capture a comfortable, dull decision. An unbowed Vargas maintains his fan base but not his bettors.
March both comes in and goes out as a lion.
On March 4th Joe Calzaghe welcomes Jeff Lacy to Manchester UK for what may be the biggest blowout of the headlining bunch. Calzaghe gets the chance to prove his considerable home-based reputation once and for all, but if Lacy creams him as we expect, that glossy record will be severely tarnished.
All Calzaghe has to do is make a respectable stand, but that’s no small task against the rising Lacy. A motivated Calzaghe, songs of England ringing in his ears, could pull a big surprise if he can exploit Lacy’s relatively limited technical development, but that’s a longshot indeed.
It looks like Lacy can get by on power alone. He could soon emerge as a pound-for-pound leader. Old Joe’s hometown advantage will last about two left hooks.
March 11th has the Ides of history to beware for at least one old lion, with farewell (we’ll see) fireworks featuring Roy Jones Jr. against Bernard Hopkins. Less than two years ago they were considered untouchable all time greats. Now between them they’ve lost five in a row.
This goodbye fight is contracted at light heavyweight, for what seems like an oldies night. Hopkins is the senior at age 41 to Jones’s 37, but Roy seems more the grandpa figure, last seen hanging on against Antonio Tarver. Youth, as it were here, will prevail.
This bout was signed quickly as each principal, usually sticklers for favorable contract clauses, agreed to parity in a demonstration of businessman first and fighter second. They may both expect easy marks. How much the boys have left by the time they get down to business remains to be seen. The history books will show this as a climactic career bout between Hall of Famers.
At 175 pounds, Hopkins may be in for rude awakening. Jones may have been more thoroughly outfought recently, but he was rumbling with bigger, tougher men than Jermain Taylor or Howard Eastman. Respectable as he is, Taylor still falls short of the level of Tarver, at least for now. The difference is still fifteen pounds less pop.
It will be quite a feat if Hopkins can stay in the fight, even at Jones’s advanced age. Our stars point to Jones winning in overwhelming fashion.
On March 18th, James Toney meets Hasim Rahman in another pairing of seasoned war-horses.
Toney and Rahman already had their introductions, when they brawled in Mexico during a WBC gathering to bestow Rahman’s new belt. Between formalities, Toney got married, which could bring up the old questions about carnal training.
Let’s hope when they meet in the ring, they restore some of the fire missing from the heavyweights in ‘05. Toney might have an edge in recent form, but Rahman shows fine tuning he previously lacked. The winner might get newly “crowned’ Nicolai Valuev, an easy payday outside Germany.
Rahman could be the heavyweight that finally makes Toney look like a blown up middleweight. But anything less than a top effort will probably lead to embarrassing night for the Rock and give Toney solid claim to being the true heavyweight champ.
This might not be the most artful fight of the new season, but it could well be the most grueling, and the closest. He who’s faced the better big boys gets the nod. Advantage Rahman.
March 25 features Marco Antonio Barrera, probably the strongest overall claimant to 130 pound honors. The likely opponent is said to be always tough Jesus Chavez.
Chavez seemed rejuvenated when he met Leavander Johnson, but Johnson’s tragic death may have taken some of the steam out of thoughtful Chavez, said to have received Johnson’s family blessing to continue in Leavander’s name. That could mean a lot of inspiration. Either way, if he does meet Chavez, who hung tough with one arm against Erik Morales, Barrera won’t get any slack. The Fates say Chavez, whose wife recently served in Iraq, is a live, live underdog.
Another clash to be King of the Hill finds Floyd Mayweather Jr, arguably the game’s finest practitioner, bumping heads with Zab Judah, one of very few boxers who rivals Mayweather in speed, skills, and brashness.
Their hoedown, scheduled for April 8th, is one of the top pound-for-pound pairings in recent years. Judah will need a career best performance to have a chance of victory. That’s not to say he can’t pull it off, but currently Mayweather is in a different galaxy in terms of punching power. Slow-motion replays may be the only way to follow the flying fists once these two whirlwinds unload.
Mayweather should be around a 4-1 favorite. Judah is good enough to make taking the odds an attractive proposition, since that’s probably as good of odds as one is likely to see on Floyd for a while. Mayweather will stop Judah in his tracks.
The first half of next year is set to conclude with the star power of Oscar De La Hoya, probably against noteworthy foil Ricardo Mayorga on May 6. There could be some snags before a contract is finalized, but if it comes off count on Mayorga for promotional sound bite nastiness. One of the questions is whether or not he’ll be able to get under Oscar’s skin, and it might actually be entertaining to see the classy, model perfect De La Hoya show he’s human and freak out against the Nicaraguan maniac.
Mayorga may have burnt his best bridges already. De La Hoya has not only the boxing skill to negate Mayorga’s offense, but enough power to end it early. If Mayorga rushes in and causes a cut, De La Hoya might get ruffled enough to duck into defense and Mayorga could get a decision that goes to the cards after six rounds or so. It will be wild for as long as it lasts.
Pro boxing, like many sports, had its share of problems during 2005, but there were also many positives. Most notably, as usual, was superior and inspiring action inside the strands. Unless there’s a mass freeze-up at the top, early 2006 figures to see decisive interaction among many well-known fighters.
If even fifty per cent of the aforementioned pairings come to fruition, it’s a strong likelihood the upcoming year has at least one very positive half. Arturo Gatti, Miguel Cotto, Antonio Margarito, Brian Viloria, and Shannon Briggs, to name a few, are also on deck. No matter how you chose to look at or measure mass qualities, there’s still just as much good to be seen.
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