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Robert Guerrero Needs To Give Fans A Reason To Watch Him

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002 Robert Guerrero and Selcuk AydinWill this fight against Aydin be the fight to give Robert Guerrero (left) his identity as a fighter and as an entertainer?

One of the great ironies of the fight game is that, despite being perhaps the most corrupt sport in the history of man, its very nature eventually reveals the truth about every fighter that steps between the ropes.  The slightest deficiencies in skill or will become magnified in the crucible of battle when one combatant faces off against another.  Sooner or later, frauds are exposed and facades are destroyed, leaving only the truly exceptional to stand out from the rest.  Simply put, the truth gets told in the ring eventually.

For Robert Guerrero, though, this moment of revelation has proven elusive.  A pro since 2001, Guerrero was heralded early in his career as a fighter to watch, someone who could be truly special.  It didn’t take long to see why, as Guerrero’s maturity and technical acumen set him apart from many of his fellow prospects that were also on the rise.  Though he rolled through the typical diet of soft touches that is standard fare for prospects, something exceptional seemed to reside within Robert Guerrero.

Then a funny thing happened:  Guerrero stagnated.  Like the child whiz who aced every question in primary and secondary school only to find classes at the university to be more than he bargained for, Guerrero’s early brilliance stunted when he stepped up in competition.  An unexpected loss to the unheralded Gamaliel Diaz quieted those who were so quick to praise Guerrero.  Though Guerrero went on to stop Diaz in a rematch and garner a featherweight title belt, a subsequent loss to Orlando Salido (which was overturned to a no-decision following a positive steroid test by Salido) halted the momentum that Team Guerrero was trying to rebuild.  There was a haunting sense of disappointment, that somehow Guerrero was falling short of the lofty expectations set before him.

To compound problems, Guerrero’s personal life was delivering even more pressing dilemmas.  His wife, Casey, was in the midst of a well-documented battle with leukemia.  Using his uncertain future as motivation, Robert Guerrero made another run at reclaiming the success and acclaim that seemed all but guaranteed early on.  Stoppage wins over Spend Abazi, Martin Honorio, and Jason Litzau signaled a resurgence in Guerrero’s career.  It looked like the adversity in Guerrero’s life had lit a fire that had been absent until that time.  Finally, the pieces appeared to be falling into place.

Then it happened again.  Just as Guerrero was building up a head of steam, he reached another impasse.  First came an apparent quit job against Daud Yordan, when Guerrero bowed out due to a cut from an accidental headbutt, opting to take a no-contest rather than continue to tangle with the tougher-than-expected Yordan.  Follow that up with wins over a handful of pedestrian opponents, an uninspired decision over the ancient Joel Casamayor, and any buzz that Guerrero had re-generated was effectively gone.

Seemingly aware that his career as a relevant name was slipping through his fingers, Guerrero ended his slump with two exciting wins over Vincente Escobedo and Michael Katsidis, leading up to a major fight as a headliner against Marcos Maidana.  If he could beat Maidana, Guerrero would have made himself a primetime player in the deep talent pool from 140 to 147 pounds.  Perhaps this would be Guerrero’s crucible, his moment of truth.  And with his wife’s cancer in remission, Guerrero was fighting for the first time in a long time with a clear head.  It seemed like things were finally aligning for Robert Guerrero.

But, once again, things didn’t work out that way, thanks to a rotator cuff injury that cancelled the fight.  Call it unfortunate coincidence, call it fate, or call it a curse, Guerrero again missed his defining moment. 

And now, once again, Robert Guerrero is left to figure out how he could once again make himself a relevant figure in the sport.  With a career that’s had more ups and downs than a hotel elevator, Guerrero is at yet another career crossroads as he goes into Saturday night’s fight against tough, undefeated, and largely unknown Selcuk Aydin.

Will Guerrero’s moment of revelation come against Aydin?  It’s hard to say.  If he loses, a cease and desist order will likely be enacted against any further talk of Guerrero being special.  If he wins, Aydin’s anonymity will probably count against Guerrero.  Nothing short of an electrifying performance will really get him a lot of credit against Aydin, nor will anything less really tell us anything we don’t already know.

Well, what do we know?  We know that Guerrero has occasionally exhibited A-level skills, albeit against B-level opponents, during portions of his career.  Still, there’s something indicting about that fact.  When his career-best wins have come against the likes of Litzau, Escobedo, and Katsidis, and the biggest names on his resume are a faded Casamayor (who he should have stopped) and Salido (who he didn’t beat), Guerrero’s strength of schedule leaves more than a bit to be desired. 

We also know that, so far, Guerrero is missing the it-factor, the must-see quality that defines a superstar in the sport.  Robert Guerrero appears to be a fighter who has not yet found his identity.  Floyd Mayweather is the sport’s great villain.  Manny Pacquiao is boxing’s humble warrior.  Sergio Martinez’ whirling-dervish explosiveness is breathtaking to witness.  Watching Nonito Donaire is like anticipating a Fourth of July fireworks display.  All of these fighters have had their defining moments, and have found a sense of identity as a result.

Guerrero has no such identity, mainly because he’s had no defining moment.  He’s got no selling point, and he’d better find one fast before time runs out on the 29-year old Californian.  Fair or unfair, being a solid technician and a decent guy never generated attention.  In fact, it’s the surest way to anonymity.

On Saturday night, Robert Guerrero needs to give fans a reason to watch him, a reason to remember him, and a reason to believe that he matters in the grand scheme of things.  He seems to be trying to make that type of statement by jumping up two weight divisions and taking a risk against a tough, undefeated fighter.  But there needs to be more.  Guerrero’s ambition needs to reveal itself when the bell rings, and his fists need to make kind of statement they never have before.

Then maybe, just maybe, we’ll get the answers we’ve been looking for.

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Fury-Usyk Reignited: Can the Gypsy King Avenge his Lone Defeat?

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In professional boxing, the heavyweight division, going back to the days of John L. Sullivan, is the straw that stirs the drink. By this measure, the fight on May 18 of this year at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, was the biggest prizefight in decades. The winner would emerge as the first undisputed heavyweight champion since 1999 when Lennox Lewis out-pointed Evander Holyfield in their second meeting.

The match did not disappoint. It had several twists and turns.

Usyk did well in the early rounds, but the Gypsy King rattled Usyk with a harsh right hand in the fifth stanza and won rounds five through seven on all three cards. In the ninth, the match turned sharply in favor of the Ukrainian. Fury was saved by the bell after taking a barrage of unanswered punches, the last of which dictated a standing 8-count from referee Mark Nelson. But Fury weathered the storm and with his amazing powers of recuperation had a shade the best of it in the final stanza.

The decision was split: 115-112 and 114-113 for Usyk who became a unified champion in a second weight class; 114-113 for Fury.

That brings us to tomorrow (Saturday, Dec. 21) where Usyk and Fury will renew acquaintances in the same ring where they had their May 18 showdown.

The first fight was a near “pick-‘em” affair with Fury closing a very short favorite at most of the major bookmaking establishments. The Gypsy King would have been a somewhat higher favorite if not for the fact that he was coming off a poor showing against MMA star Francis Ngannou and had a worrisome propensity for getting cut. (A cut above Fury’s right eye in sparring pushed back the fight from its original Feb. 11 date.)

Tomorrow’s sequel, bearing the tagline “Reignited,” finds Usyk a consensus 7/5 favorite although those odds could shorten by post time. (There was no discernible activity after today’s weigh-in where Fury, fully clothed, topped the scales at 281, an increase of 19 pounds over their first meeting.)

Given the politics of boxing, anything “undisputed” is fragile. In June, Usyk abandoned his IBF belt and the organization anointed Daniel Dubois their heavyweight champion based upon Dubois’s eighth-round stoppage of Filip Hrgovic in a bout billed for the IBF interim title. The malodorous WBA, a festering boil on the backside of boxing, now recognizes 43-year-old Kubrat Pulev as its “regular” heavyweight champion.

Another difference between tomorrow’s fight card and the first installment is that the May 18 affair had a much stronger undercard. Two strong pairings were the rematch between cruiserweights Jai Opetaia and Maris Briedis (Opetaia UD 12) and the heavyweight contest between unbeatens Agit Kabayal and Frank Sanchez (Kabayel KO 7).

Tomorrow’s semi-wind-up between Serhii Bohachuk and Ismail Madrimov lost luster when Madrimov came down with bronchitis and had to withdraw. The featherweight contest between Peter McGrail and Dennis McCann fell out when McCann’s VADA test returned an adverse finding. Bohachuk and McGrail remain on the card but against late-sub opponents in matches that are less intriguing.

The focal points of tomorrow’s undercard are the bouts involving undefeated British heavyweights Moses Itauma (10-0, 8 KOs) and Johnny Fisher (12-0, 11 KOs). Both are heavy favorites over their respective opponents but bear watching because they represent the next generation of heavyweight standouts. Fury and Usyk are getting long in the tooth. The Gypsy King is 36; Usyk turns 38 next month.

Bob Arum once said that nobody purchases a pay-per-view for the undercard and, years from now, no one will remember which sanctioning bodies had their fingers in the pie. So, Fury-Usyk II remains a very big deal, although a wee bit less compelling than their first go-around.

Will Tyson Fury avenge his lone defeat? Turki Alalshikh, the Chairman of Saudi Arabia’s General Entertainment Authority and the unofficial czar of “major league” boxing, certainly hopes so. His Excellency has made known that he stands poised to manufacture a rubber match if Tyson prevails.

We could have already figured this out, but Alalshikh violated one of the protocols of boxing when he came flat out and said so. He effectively made Tyson Fury the “A-side,” no small potatoes considering that the most relevant variable on the checklist when handicapping a fight is, “Who does the promoter need?”

The Uzyk-Fury II fight card will air on DAZN with a suggested list price of $39.99 for U.S. fight fans. The main event is expected to start about 5:45 pm ET / 2:45 pm PT.

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Unheralded Bruno Surace went to Tijuana and Forged the TSS 2024 Upset of the Year

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Unheralded Bruno Surace went to Tijuana and Forged the TSS 2024 Upset of the Year

The Dec. 14 fight at Tijuana between Jaime Munguia and Bruno Surace was conceived as a stay-busy fight for Munguia. The scuttlebutt was that Munguia’s promoters, Zanfer and Top Rank, wanted him to have another fight under his belt before thrusting him against Christian Mbilli in a WBC eliminator with the prize for the winner (in theory) a date with Canelo Alvarez.

Munguia came to the fore in May of 2018 at Verona, New York, when he demolished former U.S. Olympian Sadam Ali, conqueror of Miguel Cotto. That earned him the WBO super welterweight title which he successfully defended five times.

Munguia kept winning as he moved up in weight to middleweight and then super middleweight and brought a 43-0 (34) record into his Cinco de Mayo 2024 match with Canelo.

Jaime went the distance with Alvarez and had a few good moments while losing a unanimous decision. He rebounded with a 10th-round stoppage of Canada’s previously undefeated Erik Bazinyan.

There was little reason to think that Munguia would overlook Surace as the Mexican would be fighting in his hometown for the first time since February of 2022 and would want to send the home folks home happy. Moreover, even if Munguia had an off-night, there was no reason to think that the obscure Surace could capitalize. A Frenchman who had never fought outside France,  Surace brought a 25-0-2 record and a 22-fight winning streak, but he had only four knockouts to his credit and only eight of his wins had come against opponents with winning records.

It appeared that Munguia would close the show early when he sent the Frenchman to the canvas in the second round with a big left hook. From that point on, Surace fought mostly off his back foot, throwing punches in spurts, whereas the busier Munguia concentrated on chopping him down with body punches. But Surace absorbed those punches well and at the midway point of the fight, behind on the cards but nonplussed,  it now looked as if the bout would go the full 10 rounds with Munguia winning a lopsided decision.

Then lightning struck. Out of the blue, Surace connected with an overhand right to the jaw. Munguia went down flat on his back. He rose a fraction-of-a second before the count reached “10,”, but stumbled as he pulled himself upright. His eyes were glazed and referee Juan Jose Ramirez, a local man, waived it off. There was no protest coming from Munguia or his cornermen. The official time was 2:36 of round six.

At major bookmaking establishments, Jaime Munguia was as high as a 35/1 favorite. No world title was at stake, yet this was an upset for the ages.

Photo credit: Mikey Williams / Top Rank

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Steven Navarro is the TSS 2024 Prospect of the Year

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“I get ‘Bam’ vibes when I watch this kid,” said ESPN ringside commentator Tim Bradley during the opening round of Steven Navarro’s most recent match. Bradley was referencing WBC super flyweight champion Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez, a precociously brilliant technician whose name now appears on most pound-for-pound lists.

There are some common threads between Steven Navarro, the latest fighter to adopt the nickname “Kid Dynamite,” and Bam Rodriguez. Both are southpaws currently competing in the junior bantamweight division. But, of course, Bradley was alluding to something more when he made the comparison. And Navarro’s showing bore witness that Bradley was on to something.

It was the fifth pro fight for Navarro who was matched against a Puerto Rican with a 7-1 ledger. He ended the contest in the second frame, scoring three knockdowns, each the result of a different combination of punches, forcing the referee to stop it. It was the fourth win inside the distance for the 20-year-old phenom.

Isaias Estevan “Steven” Navarro turned pro after coming up short in last December’s U.S. Olympic Trials in Lafayette, Louisiana. The #1 seed in the 57 kg (featherweight) division, he was upset in the finals, losing a controversial split decision. Heading in, Navarro had won 13 national tournaments beginning at age 12.

A graduate of LA’s historic Fairfax High School, Steven made his pro debut this past April on a Matchroom Promotions card at the Fontainebleau in Las Vegas and then inked a long-term deal with Top Rank. He comes from a boxing family. His father Refugio had 10 pro fights and three of Refugio’s cousins were boxers, most notably Jose Navarro who represented the USA at the 2000 Sydney Olympics and was a four-time world title challenger as a super flyweight. Jose was managed by Oscar De La Hoya for much of his pro career.

Nowadays, the line between a prospect and a rising contender has been blurred. Three years ago, in an effort to make matters less muddled, we operationally defined a prospect thusly: “A boxer with no more than a dozen fights, none yet of the 10-round variety.” To our way of thinking, a prospect by nature is still in the preliminary-bout phase of his career.

We may loosen these parameters in the future. For one thing, it eliminates a lot of talented female boxers who, like their Japanese male counterparts in the smallest weight classes, are often pushed into title fights when, from a historical perspective, they are just getting started.

But for the time being, we will adhere to our operational definition. And within the window that we have created, Steven Navarro stood out. In his first year as a pro, “Kid Dynamite” left us yearning to see more of him.

Honorable mention: Australian heavyweight Teremoana Junior (5-0, 5 KOs)

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