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AVILA’S ANALYSIS: On Chavez, Crawford, Klitschko, More

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It was all about middleweights and welterweights last weekend. It’s heavyweights this coming week with Wladimir Klitschko coming to NYC.

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. got a lot of heat for taking the fight against Andrzej Fonfara and subsequently losing by knockout on his stool. It was a challenge he wanted to take before possibly meeting Gennady “GGG” Golovkin.

The son of Julio Cesar Chavez Sr. took it and lost against light heavyweight contender Fonfara. There’s no disgrace in trying. It’s only disgraceful when hiding from challenges in boxing. Chavez did not hide, he took the challenge and simply fell short. Now what’s next?

Chavez needs to drop down to super middleweight where he has a fighting chance. Light heavyweights are simply too big and strong for the 29-year-old. Even the super middleweights may be a little too strong but it remains to be seen.

Fonfara looked and fought like a light heavyweight contender. The tall Polish prizefighter was efficient and composed in his win before an overwhelmingly large pro-Chavez crowd at StubHub Center last Saturday. There were nearly 8,000 fans mostly wearing the traditional red Chavez headbands. The crowd got angry at the stoppage and tossed water bottles and other refuse toward the ring.

Younger brother Omar Chavez defeated Colombia’s Richar Gutierrez and managed to defeat the former contender. It was a good win for Omar, who had not fought on American soil since 2009. It gave fans here a chance to see his progress. Last year he lost to Ramon Alvarez, the older brother of Saul “Canelo” Alvarez in Chiapas, Mexico. It was a good solid win for Omar Chavez in the junior middleweight division.

Amir Imam looked pretty sharp in his outing against Walter Castillo of Nicaragua who was a talented fighter. Imam was able to use his long left jab and counter right with deadly accuracy. Imam has good footwork and was able to stay away from Castillo. But when Florida’s Imam wanted to attack, he was frightfully effective. Had Imam started earlier on attack it might have ended before the 10th and final round.

Imam wants a crack at Terence Crawford and that’s a fight I would like to see. He’s got ultra-confidence and despite only 17 pro fights feels ready for a world title now. He can crack, has speed and good defense. Crawford has all that too and seems taller, but Imam can compete.

Crawford captured the vacant WBO junior welterweight world title with a sixth round technical knockout of Puerto Rico’s Thomas Dulorme in Arlington, Texas while Imam was winning in Carson, California. Somebody has to connect them.

The tall, ambidextrous Nebraskan would have an interesting fight should he face Florida’s Imam. Crawford was able to chop down the taller Dulorme but can he compete with the speedy blows of Imam, who can box or bang.

Murat Gassiev was expected to run over Felix Cora Jr. but the Texan stood his ground and gave the Russian fighter all the rounds he needed. You could see Gassiev seemed pleased by Cora’s effort. In his previous fight in Montebello, Calif. his opponent clutched and hug for four horrible rounds. Finally, the referee saw enough and stopped the fight. Not this time. Cora used every trick in his veteran’s playbook to pull out a win. It was a gutsy effort by a gutsy fighter and ended with a Gassiev knockout in the ninth round.

Spike TV

Daniel Jacobs may not be the true WBA middleweight titlist but he’s still worth watching as he battles Caleb Truax in Chicago. Spike will show the middleweight showdown on Friday and a number of other prizefighters signed with Al Haymon. The match that looks compelling is Anthony Dirrell facing Badou Jack for the WBA super middleweight title that rightfully belongs to Andre Ward. But that’s another story. Still, Dirrell looks good and Jack needs a win to stay relevant in the 168-pound division. This can be a shootout.

Roberto Garcia is scheduled to fight James Stevenson but who knows. He didn’t make the weight in his last fight that was supposed to take place in Ontario, California. Garcia usually performs well when he’s in the boxing ring, but weight issues may be his future.

SoCal

Lightweight prospect Jose “Gato” Roman headlines the Thompson Boxing Promotion card when he faces Martin Cardona on Friday, April 24, at the Ontario Doubletree Hotel. Also on the same card will be heavyweight LaRon Mitchell clashing with Sylvester Barron.

Thompson Boxing has occasionally looked for a heavyweight and maybe this time they finally have one. Mitchell is a southpaw from the Bay Area and has knockouts in all of his wins. Heavyweights are a crap shoot. At one time the Orange County promoters had a shot at Chris Arreola and passed on him. That was a mistake. Now they hope they have a future contender. But they need to hurry up with Mitchell who’s already 34 years old.

Klitschko in NYC

Wladimir Klitschko may be the most unknown heavyweight world champion in the history of the sport in the U.S. Until the Klitschko brothers took over all of the belts, most Americans knew who held the heavyweight championship.

In Europe, Wladimir and Vitali Klitschko are well known but ask someone in Los Angeles or any small American town and you will get a lot of puzzled looks. The world knows Mike Tyson or even Evander Holyfield, but the Klitschko brothers have fallen under the radar.

The reason is simple: neither brother has fought on American soil since 2009. Most of their fights have taken place in Germany. The last time any Klitschko fought in the U.S. was at the same arena and against Sultan Ibragimov, a slow fight which ended in a win by decision for Wlad.

Klitschko may be entering the twilight of his career. Now 39, he faces American heavyweight Bryant Jennings on Saturday April 25, at Madison Square Garden in New York City.

“I am really excited to be back in the States. I’ve been fighting – champion of the world means to fight in different countries, in different cities, which I have accomplished in the past years. I’ve been fighting in Berlin, Switzerland. I’ve been fighting in Moscow, Russia. I’ve been fighting in many German cities. It’s always exciting to be back in the States and to be back at The Garden,” said Klitschko.

A heavyweight world title fight at the Garden? Now that has a familiar tone.

“So I’m prepared for Bryant Jennings. I’m not going to underestimate him by no means. I’m not going to overestimate him by no means because as I said, we’re all limited, including myself. So we just can fight in the way we can fight and I think that it’s going to be an exciting fight,” Klitschko said.

Jennings was very respectful about the champion.

“Well, you know, the challenges that he brings, first of all, being a boxer, period, comes with a lot of challenges, especially being a heavyweight. We’re challenged because one punch from a heavyweight has the power to pretty much put just about any man down, so I’m aware of that. Plus, I’m aware of the specimen in Wladimir. He’s a very dedicated individual. He’s always been. He appears to live the clean life and he’s a 100% athlete,” Jennings said.

Photo credit : Rachel McCarson

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Fury-Usyk Reignited: Can the Gypsy King Avenge his Lone Defeat?

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In professional boxing, the heavyweight division, going back to the days of John L. Sullivan, is the straw that stirs the drink. By this measure, the fight on May 18 of this year at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, was the biggest prizefight in decades. The winner would emerge as the first undisputed heavyweight champion since 1999 when Lennox Lewis out-pointed Evander Holyfield in their second meeting.

The match did not disappoint. It had several twists and turns.

Usyk did well in the early rounds, but the Gypsy King rattled Usyk with a harsh right hand in the fifth stanza and won rounds five through seven on all three cards. In the ninth, the match turned sharply in favor of the Ukrainian. Fury was saved by the bell after taking a barrage of unanswered punches, the last of which dictated a standing 8-count from referee Mark Nelson. But Fury weathered the storm and with his amazing powers of recuperation had a shade the best of it in the final stanza.

The decision was split: 115-112 and 114-113 for Usyk who became a unified champion in a second weight class; 114-113 for Fury.

That brings us to tomorrow (Saturday, Dec. 21) where Usyk and Fury will renew acquaintances in the same ring where they had their May 18 showdown.

The first fight was a near “pick-‘em” affair with Fury closing a very short favorite at most of the major bookmaking establishments. The Gypsy King would have been a somewhat higher favorite if not for the fact that he was coming off a poor showing against MMA star Francis Ngannou and had a worrisome propensity for getting cut. (A cut above Fury’s right eye in sparring pushed back the fight from its original Feb. 11 date.)

Tomorrow’s sequel, bearing the tagline “Reignited,” finds Usyk a consensus 7/5 favorite although those odds could shorten by post time. (There was no discernible activity after today’s weigh-in where Fury, fully clothed, topped the scales at 281, an increase of 19 pounds over their first meeting.)

Given the politics of boxing, anything “undisputed” is fragile. In June, Usyk abandoned his IBF belt and the organization anointed Daniel Dubois their heavyweight champion based upon Dubois’s eighth-round stoppage of Filip Hrgovic in a bout billed for the IBF interim title. The malodorous WBA, a festering boil on the backside of boxing, now recognizes 43-year-old Kubrat Pulev as its “regular” heavyweight champion.

Another difference between tomorrow’s fight card and the first installment is that the May 18 affair had a much stronger undercard. Two strong pairings were the rematch between cruiserweights Jai Opetaia and Maris Briedis (Opetaia UD 12) and the heavyweight contest between unbeatens Agit Kabayal and Frank Sanchez (Kabayel KO 7).

Tomorrow’s semi-wind-up between Serhii Bohachuk and Ismail Madrimov lost luster when Madrimov came down with bronchitis and had to withdraw. The featherweight contest between Peter McGrail and Dennis McCann fell out when McCann’s VADA test returned an adverse finding. Bohachuk and McGrail remain on the card but against late-sub opponents in matches that are less intriguing.

The focal points of tomorrow’s undercard are the bouts involving undefeated British heavyweights Moses Itauma (10-0, 8 KOs) and Johnny Fisher (12-0, 11 KOs). Both are heavy favorites over their respective opponents but bear watching because they represent the next generation of heavyweight standouts. Fury and Usyk are getting long in the tooth. The Gypsy King is 36; Usyk turns 38 next month.

Bob Arum once said that nobody purchases a pay-per-view for the undercard and, years from now, no one will remember which sanctioning bodies had their fingers in the pie. So, Fury-Usyk II remains a very big deal, although a wee bit less compelling than their first go-around.

Will Tyson Fury avenge his lone defeat? Turki Alalshikh, the Chairman of Saudi Arabia’s General Entertainment Authority and the unofficial czar of “major league” boxing, certainly hopes so. His Excellency has made known that he stands poised to manufacture a rubber match if Tyson prevails.

We could have already figured this out, but Alalshikh violated one of the protocols of boxing when he came flat out and said so. He effectively made Tyson Fury the “A-side,” no small potatoes considering that the most relevant variable on the checklist when handicapping a fight is, “Who does the promoter need?”

The Uzyk-Fury II fight card will air on DAZN with a suggested list price of $39.99 for U.S. fight fans. The main event is expected to start about 5:45 pm ET / 2:45 pm PT.

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Unheralded Bruno Surace went to Tijuana and Forged the TSS 2024 Upset of the Year

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Unheralded Bruno Surace went to Tijuana and Forged the TSS 2024 Upset of the Year

The Dec. 14 fight at Tijuana between Jaime Munguia and Bruno Surace was conceived as a stay-busy fight for Munguia. The scuttlebutt was that Munguia’s promoters, Zanfer and Top Rank, wanted him to have another fight under his belt before thrusting him against Christian Mbilli in a WBC eliminator with the prize for the winner (in theory) a date with Canelo Alvarez.

Munguia came to the fore in May of 2018 at Verona, New York, when he demolished former U.S. Olympian Sadam Ali, conqueror of Miguel Cotto. That earned him the WBO super welterweight title which he successfully defended five times.

Munguia kept winning as he moved up in weight to middleweight and then super middleweight and brought a 43-0 (34) record into his Cinco de Mayo 2024 match with Canelo.

Jaime went the distance with Alvarez and had a few good moments while losing a unanimous decision. He rebounded with a 10th-round stoppage of Canada’s previously undefeated Erik Bazinyan.

There was little reason to think that Munguia would overlook Surace as the Mexican would be fighting in his hometown for the first time since February of 2022 and would want to send the home folks home happy. Moreover, even if Munguia had an off-night, there was no reason to think that the obscure Surace could capitalize. A Frenchman who had never fought outside France,  Surace brought a 25-0-2 record and a 22-fight winning streak, but he had only four knockouts to his credit and only eight of his wins had come against opponents with winning records.

It appeared that Munguia would close the show early when he sent the Frenchman to the canvas in the second round with a big left hook. From that point on, Surace fought mostly off his back foot, throwing punches in spurts, whereas the busier Munguia concentrated on chopping him down with body punches. But Surace absorbed those punches well and at the midway point of the fight, behind on the cards but nonplussed,  it now looked as if the bout would go the full 10 rounds with Munguia winning a lopsided decision.

Then lightning struck. Out of the blue, Surace connected with an overhand right to the jaw. Munguia went down flat on his back. He rose a fraction-of-a second before the count reached “10,”, but stumbled as he pulled himself upright. His eyes were glazed and referee Juan Jose Ramirez, a local man, waived it off. There was no protest coming from Munguia or his cornermen. The official time was 2:36 of round six.

At major bookmaking establishments, Jaime Munguia was as high as a 35/1 favorite. No world title was at stake, yet this was an upset for the ages.

Photo credit: Mikey Williams / Top Rank

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Steven Navarro is the TSS 2024 Prospect of the Year

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“I get ‘Bam’ vibes when I watch this kid,” said ESPN ringside commentator Tim Bradley during the opening round of Steven Navarro’s most recent match. Bradley was referencing WBC super flyweight champion Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez, a precociously brilliant technician whose name now appears on most pound-for-pound lists.

There are some common threads between Steven Navarro, the latest fighter to adopt the nickname “Kid Dynamite,” and Bam Rodriguez. Both are southpaws currently competing in the junior bantamweight division. But, of course, Bradley was alluding to something more when he made the comparison. And Navarro’s showing bore witness that Bradley was on to something.

It was the fifth pro fight for Navarro who was matched against a Puerto Rican with a 7-1 ledger. He ended the contest in the second frame, scoring three knockdowns, each the result of a different combination of punches, forcing the referee to stop it. It was the fourth win inside the distance for the 20-year-old phenom.

Isaias Estevan “Steven” Navarro turned pro after coming up short in last December’s U.S. Olympic Trials in Lafayette, Louisiana. The #1 seed in the 57 kg (featherweight) division, he was upset in the finals, losing a controversial split decision. Heading in, Navarro had won 13 national tournaments beginning at age 12.

A graduate of LA’s historic Fairfax High School, Steven made his pro debut this past April on a Matchroom Promotions card at the Fontainebleau in Las Vegas and then inked a long-term deal with Top Rank. He comes from a boxing family. His father Refugio had 10 pro fights and three of Refugio’s cousins were boxers, most notably Jose Navarro who represented the USA at the 2000 Sydney Olympics and was a four-time world title challenger as a super flyweight. Jose was managed by Oscar De La Hoya for much of his pro career.

Nowadays, the line between a prospect and a rising contender has been blurred. Three years ago, in an effort to make matters less muddled, we operationally defined a prospect thusly: “A boxer with no more than a dozen fights, none yet of the 10-round variety.” To our way of thinking, a prospect by nature is still in the preliminary-bout phase of his career.

We may loosen these parameters in the future. For one thing, it eliminates a lot of talented female boxers who, like their Japanese male counterparts in the smallest weight classes, are often pushed into title fights when, from a historical perspective, they are just getting started.

But for the time being, we will adhere to our operational definition. And within the window that we have created, Steven Navarro stood out. In his first year as a pro, “Kid Dynamite” left us yearning to see more of him.

Honorable mention: Australian heavyweight Teremoana Junior (5-0, 5 KOs)

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