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What Berto Might Try and Do To Beat Mayweather

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Ever since the fight between Floyd Mayweather 48-0 (26) and Andre Berto 30-3 (23) was announced it’s been routine to read how Berto has as much chance to beat Mayweather as “Buster” Douglas did Mike Tyson 25 years ago.

And as most know Douglas knocked out Tyson in the tenth round of their undisputed heavyweight championship bout as a 42-1 underdog. In hindsight, it’s now easy to look back and justify that Douglas was much taller than Tyson with a massive reach advantage and last but not least, Tyson 37-0, wasn’t in great shape nor was he up for the fight. Douglas dominated Tyson and won no less than seven of the first nine rounds before stopping Tyson in the 10th.

When Mayweather and Berto clash for the WBC world welterweight title/WBA super welterweight title tonight, Mayweather will own every conceivable advantage over Berto that a fighter could hold over another with the exception of age, being that Berto is six years younger. Floyd is the better boxer and technician, he’s the more accurate and sharper puncher and he owns a lifetime more experience fighting on the world stage. Add to that Mayweather is so versatile and adaptable and he sees everything, Berto really has a high bar to scale in order to stay with Floyd, let alone beat him.

When breaking down Mayweather the fighter it’s hard to find a hole in his game. He outsmarts good boxers, he forces big punchers to hit air and aggressive guys who like to attack usually are hit and tied up in a knot before they ever get anything going. To beat Mayweather you need the physicality and tools to beat him. Roberto Duran would’ve got inside and forced him to engage, Thomas Hearns with his superior reach and power would really hurt and dictate the tempo of the fight against Floyd. Sugar Ray Leonard was an equal boxer and more gifted physically than Mayweather. His better speed and greater power would’ve been the difference in a prime for prime matchup between them. However, Berto is nowhere near the level of a Duran, Hearns or Leonard.

So what does he do?

Well, that’s a tough question. Many who will read this may think spacing, foot placement and timing could be the difference, but they’re wrong. There isn’t that much time to plot and think when Mayweather is in front of you at the speed of live. That’s cookbook analogy and it only works on paper and in the kitchen. Structured fighters like Mayweather are usually only thrown off by unconventional fighters who do things against the grain. To a sound fighter like Mayweather, his brain can be short-circuited a little bit by fighters who do things that he’d never attempt. But if Berto attempts that, Floyd will patiently pick his spots and be more than happy to win the round via one or two memorable exchanges — so that won’t work.

When watching Floyd fight, it’s very easy to glean that he loves for his opponent to carry the fight to him. Because when they carry the action to him, he’s actually leading because he knows where he’s going to be and moving next. He does this in a methodical way in which their intended aggression is blunted and nullified by what he’s doing. Normally by the time they think they have him in range, he’s either peppered them good or tied them up. Then it’s rinse-repeat and before you know it his opponent is down a bunch of rounds and needs a knockout….good luck with that.

When I watch Mayweather, I see a little Muhammad Ali and Larry Holmes in him. And by that I mean I see a fighter who doesn’t like to initiate the action and move into his opponent. That doesn’t mean he can’t, I’m just saying that’s not him at his best. When Floyd, like Muhammad and Larry, is forced to make the fight, he sacrifices some defense because he’s more intent on scoring and forcing the opponent to make a mistake. When Floyd is on the attack and moving forward, he’s more stationary and in front of the opponent, which leaves him more vulnerable. And he’s also a better puncher when he can manipulate his opponent into his punches (nailing them on the way in) than he is by trying to hurt them with his initial attack when he cuts loose.

Berto must know that if he goes after Mayweather and tries to beat him down he’ll be about as successful as George Foreman trying to knock out a bed sheet hanging on a clothesline. So he better forget about trying to be Manny Pacquiao and bringing the hard charge to Floyd. In addition to that, Berto isn’t fast enough to beat Mayweather by playing the ‘wait and then react to what he does’ game. Floyd will beat him to the punch at every turn. So what does that leave?

Of all of the things Mayweather does terrifically, the thing he likes doing least is to push the bout and fight as the attacker. Yes, he’s capable of doing that, but it’s not him at his best. He’s more vulnerable to counters and open for right hands. Berto, if he wants to throw Mayweather off and take him out of his comfort zone, I’d suggest he tries to bring Floyd to him and then get off with unorthodox counters to the head and body. If he has any success doing that Floyd will get a little flustered and embarrassed and may try a little harder to hurt him……and if that happens Berto will have at least a shot at being competitive. The hardest part of that is when Floyd senses what is happening he’ll slowly let up and start bringing Berto to him, and when that happens Berto will totally be under Floyd’s spell and it’ll be all over but the shouting.

For Berto to have a shot to beat Mayweather, he must keep it simple-stupid. Jump on Floyd early while he’s taking notes and try to bank a couple of early rounds. Then when Floyd thinks there’s gonna be a real fire-fight, Berto starts inching away and lets Mayweather follow him as he tries to hit Floyd in spurts on the way in. Again, on paper it sounds good but applying it against a fighter as refined as Mayweather won’t be easy….but what other choice does he have.

Berto cannot beat Floyd by trying to out-box or out-fight him. He must trip him up in spurts of the fight stylistically and then he might have a chance. And if you’re Berto, what do you have to lose because you’re simply not as good as he is. By making Floyd fight as the attacker you’re forcing him to fight from his only real weakness.

Frank Lotierzo can be contacted at GlovedFist@Gmail.com

Photo Credit: Esther Lin

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Fury-Usyk Reignited: Can the Gypsy King Avenge his Lone Defeat?

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In professional boxing, the heavyweight division, going back to the days of John L. Sullivan, is the straw that stirs the drink. By this measure, the fight on May 18 of this year at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, was the biggest prizefight in decades. The winner would emerge as the first undisputed heavyweight champion since 1999 when Lennox Lewis out-pointed Evander Holyfield in their second meeting.

The match did not disappoint. It had several twists and turns.

Usyk did well in the early rounds, but the Gypsy King rattled Usyk with a harsh right hand in the fifth stanza and won rounds five through seven on all three cards. In the ninth, the match turned sharply in favor of the Ukrainian. Fury was saved by the bell after taking a barrage of unanswered punches, the last of which dictated a standing 8-count from referee Mark Nelson. But Fury weathered the storm and with his amazing powers of recuperation had a shade the best of it in the final stanza.

The decision was split: 115-112 and 114-113 for Usyk who became a unified champion in a second weight class; 114-113 for Fury.

That brings us to tomorrow (Saturday, Dec. 21) where Usyk and Fury will renew acquaintances in the same ring where they had their May 18 showdown.

The first fight was a near “pick-‘em” affair with Fury closing a very short favorite at most of the major bookmaking establishments. The Gypsy King would have been a somewhat higher favorite if not for the fact that he was coming off a poor showing against MMA star Francis Ngannou and had a worrisome propensity for getting cut. (A cut above Fury’s right eye in sparring pushed back the fight from its original Feb. 11 date.)

Tomorrow’s sequel, bearing the tagline “Reignited,” finds Usyk a consensus 7/5 favorite although those odds could shorten by post time. (There was no discernible activity after today’s weigh-in where Fury, fully clothed, topped the scales at 281, an increase of 19 pounds over their first meeting.)

Given the politics of boxing, anything “undisputed” is fragile. In June, Usyk abandoned his IBF belt and the organization anointed Daniel Dubois their heavyweight champion based upon Dubois’s eighth-round stoppage of Filip Hrgovic in a bout billed for the IBF interim title. The malodorous WBA, a festering boil on the backside of boxing, now recognizes 43-year-old Kubrat Pulev as its “regular” heavyweight champion.

Another difference between tomorrow’s fight card and the first installment is that the May 18 affair had a much stronger undercard. Two strong pairings were the rematch between cruiserweights Jai Opetaia and Maris Briedis (Opetaia UD 12) and the heavyweight contest between unbeatens Agit Kabayal and Frank Sanchez (Kabayel KO 7).

Tomorrow’s semi-wind-up between Serhii Bohachuk and Ismail Madrimov lost luster when Madrimov came down with bronchitis and had to withdraw. The featherweight contest between Peter McGrail and Dennis McCann fell out when McCann’s VADA test returned an adverse finding. Bohachuk and McGrail remain on the card but against late-sub opponents in matches that are less intriguing.

The focal points of tomorrow’s undercard are the bouts involving undefeated British heavyweights Moses Itauma (10-0, 8 KOs) and Johnny Fisher (12-0, 11 KOs). Both are heavy favorites over their respective opponents but bear watching because they represent the next generation of heavyweight standouts. Fury and Usyk are getting long in the tooth. The Gypsy King is 36; Usyk turns 38 next month.

Bob Arum once said that nobody purchases a pay-per-view for the undercard and, years from now, no one will remember which sanctioning bodies had their fingers in the pie. So, Fury-Usyk II remains a very big deal, although a wee bit less compelling than their first go-around.

Will Tyson Fury avenge his lone defeat? Turki Alalshikh, the Chairman of Saudi Arabia’s General Entertainment Authority and the unofficial czar of “major league” boxing, certainly hopes so. His Excellency has made known that he stands poised to manufacture a rubber match if Tyson prevails.

We could have already figured this out, but Alalshikh violated one of the protocols of boxing when he came flat out and said so. He effectively made Tyson Fury the “A-side,” no small potatoes considering that the most relevant variable on the checklist when handicapping a fight is, “Who does the promoter need?”

The Uzyk-Fury II fight card will air on DAZN with a suggested list price of $39.99 for U.S. fight fans. The main event is expected to start about 5:45 pm ET / 2:45 pm PT.

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Unheralded Bruno Surace went to Tijuana and Forged the TSS 2024 Upset of the Year

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Unheralded Bruno Surace went to Tijuana and Forged the TSS 2024 Upset of the Year

The Dec. 14 fight at Tijuana between Jaime Munguia and Bruno Surace was conceived as a stay-busy fight for Munguia. The scuttlebutt was that Munguia’s promoters, Zanfer and Top Rank, wanted him to have another fight under his belt before thrusting him against Christian Mbilli in a WBC eliminator with the prize for the winner (in theory) a date with Canelo Alvarez.

Munguia came to the fore in May of 2018 at Verona, New York, when he demolished former U.S. Olympian Sadam Ali, conqueror of Miguel Cotto. That earned him the WBO super welterweight title which he successfully defended five times.

Munguia kept winning as he moved up in weight to middleweight and then super middleweight and brought a 43-0 (34) record into his Cinco de Mayo 2024 match with Canelo.

Jaime went the distance with Alvarez and had a few good moments while losing a unanimous decision. He rebounded with a 10th-round stoppage of Canada’s previously undefeated Erik Bazinyan.

There was little reason to think that Munguia would overlook Surace as the Mexican would be fighting in his hometown for the first time since February of 2022 and would want to send the home folks home happy. Moreover, even if Munguia had an off-night, there was no reason to think that the obscure Surace could capitalize. A Frenchman who had never fought outside France,  Surace brought a 25-0-2 record and a 22-fight winning streak, but he had only four knockouts to his credit and only eight of his wins had come against opponents with winning records.

It appeared that Munguia would close the show early when he sent the Frenchman to the canvas in the second round with a big left hook. From that point on, Surace fought mostly off his back foot, throwing punches in spurts, whereas the busier Munguia concentrated on chopping him down with body punches. But Surace absorbed those punches well and at the midway point of the fight, behind on the cards but nonplussed,  it now looked as if the bout would go the full 10 rounds with Munguia winning a lopsided decision.

Then lightning struck. Out of the blue, Surace connected with an overhand right to the jaw. Munguia went down flat on his back. He rose a fraction-of-a second before the count reached “10,”, but stumbled as he pulled himself upright. His eyes were glazed and referee Juan Jose Ramirez, a local man, waived it off. There was no protest coming from Munguia or his cornermen. The official time was 2:36 of round six.

At major bookmaking establishments, Jaime Munguia was as high as a 35/1 favorite. No world title was at stake, yet this was an upset for the ages.

Photo credit: Mikey Williams / Top Rank

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Steven Navarro is the TSS 2024 Prospect of the Year

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“I get ‘Bam’ vibes when I watch this kid,” said ESPN ringside commentator Tim Bradley during the opening round of Steven Navarro’s most recent match. Bradley was referencing WBC super flyweight champion Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez, a precociously brilliant technician whose name now appears on most pound-for-pound lists.

There are some common threads between Steven Navarro, the latest fighter to adopt the nickname “Kid Dynamite,” and Bam Rodriguez. Both are southpaws currently competing in the junior bantamweight division. But, of course, Bradley was alluding to something more when he made the comparison. And Navarro’s showing bore witness that Bradley was on to something.

It was the fifth pro fight for Navarro who was matched against a Puerto Rican with a 7-1 ledger. He ended the contest in the second frame, scoring three knockdowns, each the result of a different combination of punches, forcing the referee to stop it. It was the fourth win inside the distance for the 20-year-old phenom.

Isaias Estevan “Steven” Navarro turned pro after coming up short in last December’s U.S. Olympic Trials in Lafayette, Louisiana. The #1 seed in the 57 kg (featherweight) division, he was upset in the finals, losing a controversial split decision. Heading in, Navarro had won 13 national tournaments beginning at age 12.

A graduate of LA’s historic Fairfax High School, Steven made his pro debut this past April on a Matchroom Promotions card at the Fontainebleau in Las Vegas and then inked a long-term deal with Top Rank. He comes from a boxing family. His father Refugio had 10 pro fights and three of Refugio’s cousins were boxers, most notably Jose Navarro who represented the USA at the 2000 Sydney Olympics and was a four-time world title challenger as a super flyweight. Jose was managed by Oscar De La Hoya for much of his pro career.

Nowadays, the line between a prospect and a rising contender has been blurred. Three years ago, in an effort to make matters less muddled, we operationally defined a prospect thusly: “A boxer with no more than a dozen fights, none yet of the 10-round variety.” To our way of thinking, a prospect by nature is still in the preliminary-bout phase of his career.

We may loosen these parameters in the future. For one thing, it eliminates a lot of talented female boxers who, like their Japanese male counterparts in the smallest weight classes, are often pushed into title fights when, from a historical perspective, they are just getting started.

But for the time being, we will adhere to our operational definition. And within the window that we have created, Steven Navarro stood out. In his first year as a pro, “Kid Dynamite” left us yearning to see more of him.

Honorable mention: Australian heavyweight Teremoana Junior (5-0, 5 KOs)

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