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Mayweather-Berto From A Betting Perspective

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We must all remind ourselves periodically, when certain things–unmade fights, crap decisions, stuff like that–that this is the boxing BUSINESS, and many, many decisions are made after being filtered through a “how much money will this situation bring to the table.”

It’s money that matters on this planet, so much of the time, inarguably more than is respectable for us as a whole…but regardless, this is the state of the society, and of Boxing Nation.

And but of course, “Money” matters in the sweet science; Floyd Mayweather is the sport’s lead dog, though he says his Saturday outing will be his last as an active fighter, so that could change shortly.. Now, that being the case, one might think there would be more buzz attached to his Saturday clash at the MGM against Andre Berto. There really isn’t, though that is maybe mostly because most any fight would pale in comparison to his last one.

You all remember that one…

Anyway, it’s still Mayweather, and he’s still, for however much longer, the sport’s marquee name.

So I asked analyst Jason Lake of SportsbookReview.com for his POV on #MayweatherBerto, from a betting perspective. Yes, that means money…because that’s what Mayweather seems to value so very highly, and he’s right in line with most of the masses.

The odds of a decision vs. knockout odds

“We’ve just started to see these odds come in at a small handful of sportsbooks; this fight is –225 to end in a decision, with Mayweather specifically at –191 to do what he usually does,” Lake said. “Berto is +3225 to win by decision. We don’t have anything yet for a pure KO/TKO finish, but Mayweather is +185 to win inside the distance, compared to +2675 for Berto.”

?A breakdown of Mayweather and Berto’s fighting styles

“Mayweather’s obviously known for his defense, even more so after the Pacquiao fight,” Lake said. “It’s just the smart thing to do inside the ring – and it’s quite hilarious to see people pay so much to watch Mayweather fight, only to complain about his style afterward. In theory, Berto is more of a mauler, but he’s a bit gun-shy and hasn’t had the same killer instinct since tearing up his right shoulder two years ago in that loss to Jesus Soto Karass.”?

Analysis of Defensive/Offensive fighter strengths

“Mayweather’s offense blends perfectly with his defense: mostly jabs, racking up points and staying out of range,” he continued. “Simple enough. When things get close, Mayweather will keep his hands high and use his elbows to block, then he’ll counterpunch with quick jabs, lean on you, or push you around with his forearms. Berto used to have a nice jab, too, which he’d follow with devastating uppercuts and overhand rights. There’s still some power there after the shoulder injury, but it’s just not what it used to be. Defensively, Berto will use some of the same blocking techniques as Mayweather, and he can take a punch, but he clearly is not afraid to drag a fight out by holding and clinching, either.”

Friends, if you were or are going to lay a bet down, talk to me. How will you play #MayweatherBerto?

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