The Official TSS GGG-Canelo II Prediction Page

We surveyed members of our writing community to get their thoughts on Saturday’s mega-fight between Gennady Golovkin and Canelo Alvarez

Published

2 years ago

September 11, 2018

The Sweet Science

We surveyed members of our writing community to get their thoughts on Saturday’s mega-fight between Gennady Golovkin and Canelo Alvarez. If this survey is any guide, the rematch is a true “pick-‘em” fight. Opinion was split with compelling cases made for each side.

The respondents are listed alphabetically. Comic book cover artist ROB AYALA, whose specialty is combat sports, provided the graphic. Check out more of Ayala’s illustrations at his web site, fight posium.

Matt Andrzejewski

The rematch will resemble the first fight with a few caveats. First, Golovkin will get off to a faster start. He knows what to expect from Canelo and will not be as bothered by his speed in the early going. Ring rust will also be a negative factor for Canelo in the early rounds. The fight will then resemble that of the first fight in the middle to late rounds with Golovkin’s pressure and punching power taking control of the action. The second caveat is the judges will get this right. Golovkin wins by wide unanimous decision.

Rick Assad

On its face, the tussle should be a dandy. A pair of future Hall of Famers in their prime with everything on the line. It should be tight and despite being an underdog I’m picking Canelo to win a split decision based on hand speed, courage and revenge.

Bernard Fernandez

For a fighter with a yen for making boxing history, setting the record for title defenses in the middleweight division figures to be a powerful aphrodisiac. It also doesn’t hurt to feel as if the opponent you hope to set the record against is a drug cheat who deserves a painful comeuppance. Toss those ingredients into the pot, along with Gennady Golovkin’s always-formidable punching power, and the call here is for GGG to score an eighth-round stoppage in what figures to be a good fight with nasty overtures.

Jeffrey Freeman

Canelo Alvarez by decision. We’ve already seen this fight. What it proved is that both boxers are very evenly matched and that a knockout is exceedingly unlikely. The rematch will look a lot like their first twelve rounds. Canelo will counterpunch from range to avoid GGG’s power. Golovkin will look to have done enough to retain his title. The judges say otherwise.

Kid Hersh

Canelo UD. I believe that Canelo will pick up where he left off in the last fight and be able to hit Golovkin while staying elusive enough on defense to get the victory. In addition, Golovkin is getting older and Canelo is coming into his prime.

Arne Lang

I keep flashing back to the two fights between Lennox Lewis and Evander Holyfield. The first match was ruled a draw. It caused a big stink. Most everyone thought that Lewis was robbed. The rematch was pretty much a carbon of the first, but the judges were predisposed toward giving Lennox the close rounds to rectify the wrong – the equivalent of a “make-up call” in football – and he won a unanimous decision. Ergo, I suspect that history will repeat. It’s GGG by UD in a very close fight.

Frank Lotierzo

I don’t think GGG can improve from what he showed in the last fight, unless Canelo was really aided by PEDS then and obviously won’t be this time. I’ve always felt GGG was the stronger fighter and should win. The questions are whether he is too old now and whether he can he get the decision if he doesn’t get the stoppage. A loss ends Canelo as a star fighter and that leads me to think Canelo wins and there’s a third fight.

Kelsey McCarson

I was part of the minority of boxing fans who thought Alvarez did enough for the draw in the first fight. I thought Golovkin started off slow and Alvarez eked out the first three rounds, and I’m certain Alvarez took over the fight during the last three rounds, so to me whether you had it close for either fighter, I couldn’t disagree. Since then, Golovkin has done nothing but grow older and get angrier. I guess technically he also trucked the hapless Vanes Martirosyan but I count that as nothing. I think Golovkin will press too much for the knockout in the rematch, and Alvarez will counterpunch him to death to win at least seven or eight of the rounds. My prediction is Alvarez via unanimous decision in one heck of a good scrap.

Matt McGrain

I don’t think that Alvarez will be using performance enhancing drugs for this fight. Therefore, I think Alvarez will lose.

Sean Nam

The newfound enmity between Saul Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin suggests that their rematch will not be short of dramatic moments. But boxing more often disappoints than fulfills its oft-gaudy expectations, and the thinking here is that the fight will end in similar fashion as the first meeting, in the judges’ hands. Stamina has never been Alvarez’s best friend, but should he refrain from holstering his offense for six rounds as he did in the first fight, the rematch will be Alvarez’s to win. He is quicker, craftier, and offensively more creative than the aging ironfisted Golovkin. But stamina is not something you can improve so simply through one camp and power is often the last thing to go away for a fighter. Golovkin by SD.

Tamas Pradarics

I believe the issue with Canelo’s positive tests as well as his brief suspension has made the rematch much bigger, and not just from a financial standpoint. It is clearly personal now for each of these two. And I believe it is Canelo who is in a better position leading up to the biggest PPV event of 2018. The Mexican is younger, fresher, and has a strong motivation to clear his name after all that happened. Also, Alvarez only gets better with age at 28, while Golovkin turned 36 in April. Though I scored the first one 116-112 for GGG, this time I think Canelo can pull off the victory in a fierce battle. My pick is Alvarez by majority decision in a fun fight.

Ted Sares

I see strong similarities to the first fight except that GGG will press earlier this time doing a better job of cutting off the ring. Canelo will do better in the mid-rounds landing the more quality shots. The fight will be decided in the last three rounds as they engage more directly with a possible firefight ensuing. I predict another draw. Two judges split and the other calls it even.

Phil Woolever

Watching the TV broadcast (which to me carries far less scoring validity than seeing a fight live), I thought the initial encounter was much closer than everyone who screamed about Golovkin getting robbed and I had no problem with the draw verdict. If Canelo uses his movement to attack, instead of retreat, he has an even better shot at the upset this time. It really comes down to who absorbed Shawn Porter’s philosophy more last weekend. To win a fight, you should actually fight. Golovkin likely received that message clearer, and it’s more likely he’ll try to prove he actually is the monster that so many people once considered him to be. He may even score a TKO, but he’s going to eat some leather before he does. My main prediction, with nothing against this weekend’s principals, is that whoever wins still isn’t in the same middleweight league as Leonard, Hagler or Hearns.

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Tyson and Jones Box to an Unofficial Draw in a Predictable Stinker

Published

6 hours ago

November 28, 2020

Arne K. Lang

Tyson-and-Jones-Box-to-an-Unofficial-draw-in-a-Predictable-Stinker

The Ringling Bros. and Barnum & Bailey Circus, an American institution, went belly-up in 2017, but a different kind of circus played to an empty house at the Staples Center in Los Angeles tonight. The main attraction wasn’t Jumbo the elephant but Iron Mike Tyson in his first ring appearance in 15 years. In the opposite corner was Roy Jones Jr, who at age 51 was the younger man by three years.

Tyson vs. Jones was the main piece of a 4-hour boxing and music festival live-streamed in the U.S. on the TysononTriller.com app at a list price of $49.95. This was the first live event on “Triller” which allows people to create their own music videos and was designed as a rival to China-owned TikTok, one of the biggest recent success stories in the internet world.

The California State Athletic Commission, which sanctioned the match, insisted that Tyson vs. Jones would be an exhibition. They would fight 8 two-minute rounds with 12-ounce gloves and if there were a knockdown, the referee would not give a count and the bout would or would not continue at his discretion. The rounds would not be scored and no winner would be named.

Of course, the promoter chafed at these restraints and did his best to create the impression that this was a legitimate prizefight. Retired boxers Vinny Pazienza, Chad Dawson, and Christy Martin were lassoed to serve as judges, scoring the fight from a remote location, and the WBC commissioned an honorary belt to present to the winner.

The advance hype was enormous. A clickbait-obsessed media lapped it up including photoshop-enhanced images of Mike Tyson’s physique.

In the second round, Tyson landed a double left hook and that was the only indelible moment in the match. By the third round, both looked and sounded tired and by the sixth round Jones was thoroughly gassed out and took to clinching to make it to the final bell.

For the record, the scores were 79-73 for Tyson (Martin), 80-76 for Jones (Pazienza), and 76-76 (Dawson). On the internet, the clear consensus was that Tyson had the best of it.

Mike Tyson, 50-6, 2 NC (44 KOs) last fought in June of 2005 when he was stopped by third-rater Kevin McBride. Roy Jones (66-9, 47 KOs) was active as recently as 2018 and won his last four, but against hand-picked opponents including a boxer making his pro debut. His last fight of significance came in 2011 when he was brutally KOed by Dennis Lebedev in Moscow.

Jones, who weighed 210 ½ tonight, weighed 157 when he made his pro debut in 1989. In his prime, he was pound-for-pound the best fighter in the world, but that was back in the previous century.

Both fighters were reportedly guaranteed $1 million with Tyson’s take potentially reaching $10 million if certain financial targets were met.

Other Bouts

YouTube sensation Jake Paul, who we reluctantly concede has more than a modicum of talent in the fisticuffing department, knocked out Nate Robinson in the second round and it was a clean knockout with Robinson knocked out cold. The 36-year-old Robinson, the former NBA point guard who was a three-time slam dunk champion during his 11-year NBA career, is a well-rounded athlete, good enough to start as a cornerback in football during his freshman year at the University of Washington, but his athleticism didn’t translate to the squared circle as he looked like a common bar brawler.

Former two-division belt-holder Badou Jack (22-3-4), who said he appeared on the card as a favor to his friend Mike Tyson, was a clear-cut winner over hard-trying but out-classed Blake McKernan in an 8-round cruiserweight match.

At age 37, Jack’s career is winding down. He tipped the scales at 188 ¾, 14 pounds more than in his previous engagement vs. Jean Pascal. McKernan, a natural cruiserweight from Sacramento, was undefeated coming in (13-0), but was over his in over his head against Jack, a former Olympian and veteran of seven world title fights.

In a good action fight, Worcester, Massachusetts lightweight Jamaine Ortiz, a carpenter by trade, improved to 14-0 (8) with a seventh-round stoppage of Sulaiman Segawa (13-3-1), a Maryland-based Ugandan.

In the first bout on the program, Fort Worth featherweight Edward Vazquez improved to 9-0 (1) with an 8-round split decision over Jamaine Ortiz stablemate Irvin Gonzalez (14-3).

Heavyweight Juiseppe “Joe” Cusumano improved to 19-3 (17) with a sixth-round stoppage of late sub Gregory Corbin (15-4). It was the fourth straight loss for the 40-year-old Corbin who came in at a beefy 291 ¾ pounds.

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Fast Results from London: Joe Joyce Stops Daniel Dubois in the 10th

Published

11 hours ago

November 28, 2020

Arne K. Lang

Fast-Results-from-London-Joe-Joyce-Stops-Daniel-Dubois-in-the-10th

The historic Church House which sits in the shadow of Westminster Abbey was the site of tonight’s clash in London between unbeaten heavyweights Daniel Dubois and Joe Joyce. The bout lacked the gloss of a world title fight, but didn’t need it. The oft-postponed match, originally slated for the 02 Arena in London on April 11 with promoter Frank Warren anticipating a sellout, was fairly hyped as the most anticipated fight since Fury-Wilder II which was the last big fight before the coronavirus clampdown.

Dubois, 15-0 with 14 KOs heading in, was a consensus 7/2 favorite in man-to-man betting, He was younger, faster and punched harder, but ultimately it would be his “O” that had to go. Joe Joyce, an inch taller at six-foot-six and 15 pounds heavier at 259, emerged victorious with a 10^th-round stoppage in what was a good back-and-forth fight with a divided opinion as to who had the edge through the completed rounds.

Joyce really didn’t do much but throw a jab, but he landed that jab consistently and it was a hard, thudding jab that caused Dubois’s left eye to start swelling during the mid-rounds of the fight. The damaged eye eventually shut and when Joyce reached it with another hard jab in the 10^th, Dubois surrendered by taking a knee. The presumption was that he had suffered a broken orbital bone.

The 35-year-old Joyce, nicknamed Juggernaut, is of Scotch-Irish and Nigerian descent. He lost by split decision to Tony Yoka in the semifinals of the 2016 Olympics and had to settle for a silver medal. Prior to turning pro, he was 12-1 in the semi-pro World Series of Boxing with his lone defeat coming at the hands of Oleksandr Usyk. With today’s career-defining win, he upped his pro ledger to 12-0 (11).

Other Bouts

Top-rated WBC super lightweight contender Jack Catterall (26-0) won a predictably one-sided 10-round triumph over 33-year-old Tunisian Abderrazak Houya (14-3). Catterall scored two knockdowns en route to winning by a 99-90 score. This was a stay-busy fight for the Lancashire man who was the mandatory challenger for title-holder Jose Carlos Ramirez and accepted step-aside money with the promise that he would meet the winner of the unification fight between Ramirez and Josh Taylor which is expected to come off in February.

The lead-in fight was a 10-round contest in the super welterweight division between 21-year-old Hamzah Sheeraz and 33-year-old Guido Nicolas Pitto. The fight was monotonous until Sheeraz (12-0, 8 KOs) kicked it into a higher career in the final stanza and brought about the stoppage. Pitto, from Spain by way of Argentina, declined to 26-8-2. The official time was 1:11 of round 10.

In an 8-round cruiserweight bout, Jack Massey improved to 17-1 (8) with a 79-74 referee’s decision over Mohammad Ali Farid (16-2-1). Massey was making his first start since losing a close 12-round decision to Richard Raikporhe in December of 2019 for the vacant BBBofC title. The well-traveled, one-dimensional Farid had scored 16 knockouts in his previous 18 fights while answering the bell for only 33 rounds.

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Daniel Jacobs Edges Past Gabe Rosado on a Matchroom card in Florida

Published

1 day ago

November 27, 2020

David A. Avila

Daniel-Jacobs-Edges-Past-Gabe-Rosado-on-a-Matchroom-card-in-Florida

Former world champion Daniel Jacobs needed the last round to win by split decision against upset-minded Gabe Rosado and keep his place in line on Friday for lucrative super middleweight matchups.

But when the ring announcer erroneously announced the winner was from Philadelphia, confusion reigned for a moment until Jacobs was correctly called the winner.

Brooklyn’s Jacobs (37-3, 30 KOs) jumped out ahead against Philly fighter Rosado (25-13-1, 14 KOs) and held on for the win in front of no fans at the Seminole Hard Rock Hotel and Casino in Hollywood, Florida. For a second, many thought Rosado had won.

Both were careful during the first three rounds measuring each other’s distance and looking for openings to counter. There were very few.

It was the kind of fight expected by those who know boxing: two veterans with immense experience against top-flight world champions. Mistakes were few.

Jacobs, a former middleweight world champion, had fought Saul “Canelo” Alvarez and Gennady “GGG” Golovkin in close but losing efforts.

Rosado had battled Golovkin too, six years ago in a bloody affair that ended in a loss. He had also lost to other champions like Peter Quillin and Jermell Charlo. But none were able to knock him out.

Both were aware of each other’s reputation. Bitter words had been exchanged for years and now they finally got their chance to prove their mettle and they did.

Though Jacobs was recognized as a knockout puncher, Rosado’s resilience was just as well known. Both neutralized each other for most of the fight with their feints and jabs to the body. Neither was willing to leave openings for each other.

Jacobs scored big with a left uppercut at the end of the seventh round. While Rosado wowed viewers with a sizzling right cross in the 11^th round.

It was 1950s style, boxing with intelligence. Each found it difficult to land combinations, let alone find openings to score knockout blows. Instead, they had to be satisfied with scoring enough to convince three judges the actual winner.

Neither was able to pull out ahead with any conviction.

After 12 rounds one judge saw Rosado the winner 115-113 while two others saw Jacobs the winner 115-113 to give him the win by split decision.

“It felt just a little weird. It felt like a sparring match,” said Jacobs about fighting without fans in the audience. “This wasn’t a valiant effort.”

Rosado was certain he was the true winner.

“I thought I won the fight. I surprised him,” said Rosado who trained with Freddie Roach for this fight. “I’m a veteran, I know how to fight.”

Indeed, he does.

Jacobs now stands poised to fight one of many super middleweight champions in need of a marquee name.

“I live to see another day,” he said honestly.

Other Bouts

Kazakhstan’s Daniyar Yeleussinov (10-0, 6 KOs) proved he was not an easy touch and knocked out former world champion Julius Indongo (23-3, 12 KOs) to march forward in the welterweight division while grabbing the vacant IBF Inter-Continental title.

In a fight featuring southpaw versus southpaw Yeleussinov caught Indongo with a roundhouse left the first time they exchanged and down went the former super lightweight world champion. Indongo beat the count and survived the round.

Indongo wasn’t as lucky in the second round as Yeleussinov again connected with a left and down went the fighter from Namibia again. He would not get up at 1:24 of round two giving the knockout win for Yeleussinov.

A battle between undefeated heavyweights saw Azerbaijan’s Mahammadrasul Majidov (3-0, 3 KOs) use roundhouse rights to stagger the heavier Sahret Delgado (8-1) to win by knockout in the third round. Majidov actually helped Delgado get to his stool after knocking him out on his feet at 47 seconds of the third round.

Emmanuel Tagoe (32-1) defeated Mason Menard (36-5) by majority decision after a 10- round lightweight fight that saw a lot of clinching and leaning.

Nikita “White Chocolate” Ababiy (10-0) out-fought Detroit’s Brandon Maddox (7-4-1) to win by unanimous decision after six rounds in a middleweight clash. Ababiy hurt Maddox with body shots but found Maddox more resilient than expected.

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