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Ali-Spinks I: A Trip Down Memory Lane in Search of the Elusive Betting Line

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A friend inquired if I happened to know the odds on the first Ali-Spinks fight. “No, I don’t,” I said, “but no problem, I’ll just look it up.” In the end, I wasn’t able to ferret out a satisfactory answer to his question, but I enjoyed rummaging through the archives and re-visiting a very special moment in boxing history. When ring announcer Chuck Hull mouthed the words “and the new,” the din was deafening, blowing the roof off its hinges, in a matter of speaking.

Upsets come in two flavors. One flavor is empirical. It is derived from the true odds on an event, numbers culled from a bookmaker’s wagering board. I have always loved weaving empirical odds into a story because odds cut right to the chase, quantifying the magnitude of an upset.

The other kind of upset is subjective. It has to do with the shock factor, something that can’t be quantified. Some upsets are positively mind-blowing among the population at large, but yet somewhat pedestrian among hard-core gamblers who are in action every day. The bigger the event, the bigger the shock factor when a heavy underdog springs an upset.

Leon Spinks upset of Muhammad Ali at the Las Vegas Hilton on Thursday, Feb. 16, 1978, registered very high on the phantasmagorical shock meter.

“Neon Leon” was a gold medal winner at the 1976 Montreal Olympics, but had only seven pro fights under his belt when he was thrust against Ali. He had been held to a draw by Minnesota journeyman Scott LeDoux in his first 10-round bout and his effort in his most recent fight with Alfio Righetti was unexceptional. Righetti came in undefeated (27-0), but wasn’t a big puncher and was a part-time prizefighter, juggling his boxing career around his day job as a traffic policeman in Rimini, Italy. Spinks outpointed Righetti by 46-44 on all three cards on Nevada’s “five-point must” system.

A poll of visiting sportswriters by the Las Vegas Review-Journal found no takers for Leon Spinks. Although he was the younger man by 12 years, the conventional wisdom was that he would fade late because he was still adjusting to the pro game which places a premium on stamina. In an amateur career that reportedly consisted of 185 fights, Leon was never required to fight more than three rounds.

Among those favoring Ali was Rollie Schwartz, the team manager of the 1976 U.S. Olympic team. Schwartz noted that Leon, unlike his younger brother Michael, had discipline issues as an amateur.

Ali-Spinks I wasn’t a great fight, but it was a fight infused with great drama.

Despite giving away a few of the early rounds, Ali was clearly in front after 10 frames. But the upstart would prove to have more fuel in his tank.

Round 14 was a big round for Spinks. He hurt Ali with a big left hook midway through the stanza and out-punched the worried champion as they exchanged combinations as the round was drawing to a close.

As the boxers awaited the bell for the final round, the tension was thick. Would the great Muhammad Ali summon up some reservoir of strength and pull the fight out of the fire as he had done so often in the past? Or would Spinks maintain his advantage now that the momentum had shifted? Ali was still the people’s champion, but as always happens when a big upset is brewing, many in the audience with no financial stake in the outcome had shifted their allegiance to the underdog. The final round was a doozy and almost to a man, everyone in the packed auditorium remained standing as the round played out amidst a great clamor.

Ali came out strong, “throwing every punch he ever learned” in the words of ringside reporter John Schulian, but Neon Leon saved his best for last. With his mother Kay looking on, clutching tight to her Bible, Leon rocked Ali in the final seconds, sending him stumbling back to his corner. All three judges gave Spinks each of the last three rounds and two of them had Spinks the winner. Ali concurred with the majority, conceding that he was fairly beaten.

Ali’s Legacy

What would have been Ali’s legacy if the verdict had gone the other way? Obviously, it would have improved his final record, but as New York Times scribe Dave Anderson astutely noted, it would not have redounded well to him at all.

In previous fights, Ali had won disputed decisions over Ken Norton and Jimmy Young and struggled to put away Earnie Shavers while winning a unanimous decision by scores (9-5-1, 9-6, 9-6) that struck many as too wide. Had he been given the decision over Spinks, it would have been widely assailed as a heist and brought more scrutiny to those earlier fights plus denying him the opportunity to make history as the first three-time heavyweight champion. “Ali Fails To Con Two Judges” was the headline above Anderson’s ringside report.

The Odds

About those odds: In 1978, sports betting in Nevada still had one foot in the closet despite a recent reduction in the bookmakers’ federal wagering tax that set the wheels in motion for an avalanche of legal sports betting. Only two hotels on the Strip had sports betting parlors. The Hilton, which opened as the International and is now called the Westgate, would come to have the most prominent sports book in the city, the SuperBook, but in 1978 it had no book whatsoever.

A number of pre-fight stories made note of the fact that Ali was such a prohibitive favorite that bookmakers didn’t bother to post a betting line. This was largely true, but there were a few exceptions.

Several newspaper stories referenced Spinks as a 10/1 underdog, but to get the real skinny a reporter in town for the fight would have had to find his way to one of the little freestanding bookie joints downtown, fading remnants of an earlier era. There – and keeping in mind that betting lines are fluid – he would have likely found -600/+400 on the chalkboard with Ali, quite naturally, the favorite.

LA Times sportswriter Jim Murray came up with another of his splendid metaphors when he wrote that Ali vs. Spinks held out about as much intrigue as the main course of a Thanksgiving dinner. However, there were a number of sharp handicappers who thought otherwise, conceding Spinks a reasonable chance of emerging victorious, not because he was anything special, but because at age 36 “The Greatest” was so evidently on the downgrade and he didn’t figure to bring his “A” game. How could he take Leon seriously after just knocking out Superman in the pages of an oversized DC comic book?

As empirical upsets go, Leon Spinks’ triumph as a roughly 4/1 underdog wasn’t earth-shattering. However, the betting line was out of whack with the shock meter. It was a stunning upset.

“Leon Spinks endured one of the most exciting and grueling fifteen rounds of action and (came out a winner),” said a resolution of congratulations passed by the House of Representatives in Leon’s home state of Missouri. That was the highlight of a career that was otherwise a big disappointment but, my goodness, what a highlight it was.

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Avila Perspective, Chap. 289: East LA, Claressa Shields and More

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Avila Perspective, Chap. 289: East LA, Claressa Shields and More

East Los Angeles has long been a haven for some of the best fighters around if you can keep them out of trouble. For every Oscar De La Hoya or Seniesa Estrada there are thousands derailed by crime, drugs or drinking.

Boxing has always been a favorite sport of East L.A. Every family has an uncle or two who boxes.

On Friday, 360 Promotions’ Omar Trinidad (15-0-1) fights Viktor Slavinskyi (15-2-1) in the main event at Commerce Casino, in Commerce, CA. UFC Fight Pass will stream the fight card.

The City of Commerce used to be part of East L.A. until 1960 when it incorporated. It’s still considered to be part of East Los Angeles, but informally.

Plenty of fighters come out of East L.A. but few make it all the way like De La Hoya and Estrada. Will Trinidad be the one?

The first world champion from East L.A. or “East Los” as some call it, was Solly Garcia Smith back in the late 1800s. Others were Richie Lemos, Art Frias and Joey Olivo. There is also 1984 Olympic gold medalist Paul Gonzalez.

Once again 360 Promotions brings its popular brand of fights to the area. On this fight card includes two female bouts. One features Roxy Verduzco (1-0) the former amateur star fighting Colleen Davis (3-1-1) in a featherweight fight.

All that action takes place on Friday.

Elite Boxing

The next day, also in East L.A., Elite Boxing stages another boxing card at Salesian High School located at 960 S. Soto Street in the Boyle Heights area of East Los Angeles.

Elite Boxing has promoted several successful boxing cards at the Catholic high school grounds. The area is saturated by many of the best eateries in Los Angeles. Don’t take my word for it. Check it out yourself and grab some of that delicious food.

Boxing has long been a favorite sport of anyone who lives in East L.A. It’s a fight town equal to Philadelphia, Brooklyn or Detroit. There’s something different about the area. For more than 100 years some of the best fighters continue to come out of its boxing gyms. Some will be performing on these club shows.

For tickets or information go to www.eliteboxingusa.com

Claressa Shields in Detroit

Speaking of fight towns, pound-for-pound best Claressa Shields who won two Olympic Gold Medals in boxing, moves up another weight division to tackle the WBC heavyweight world champion Vanessa Lepage-Joanisse on Saturday, July 27, at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan.

DAZN will stream the heavy-duty fight card.

Shields (14-0) cleaned out the super welterweight, middleweight and super middleweight divisions and now wants to add the big girls to her conquests. She will be facing Canada’s Lepage-Joanisse  (7-1) who holds the WBC belt.

The last time Shields gloved up was more than a year ago when she fought Maricela Cornejo. Don’t blame Shields. She loves to fight. She loves to win. The last time Shields lost a fight was in the amateurs and that was three presidential administrations ago.

Shields doesn’t lose.

I wonder if Las Vegas even takes bets on her fights?

The only fight she may have been an underdog was against Savannah Marshall who was the last opponent to defeat her. And that was in 2012 in China. When they met as pros two years ago, Shields avenged her loss with a blistering attack.

Don’t get Shields mad.

Perhaps her toughest foe as a pro was in her pro debut when she clashed with Franchon Crews-Dezurn in Las Vegas. It was four rounds of fists and fury as the two pounded each other on the undercard of Andre Ward and Sergey Kovalev in November 2016.

That was a ferocious debut for both female pugilists.

Assisting Shields on this fight card will be several intriguing male bouts. One guy you should pay special attention is Tito Mercado (15-0, 14 KOs) a super lightweight prospect from Pomona, California.

Many excellent fighters have come out of Pomona including Sugar Shane Mosley, Shane Mosley Jr., Alberto Davila and Richie Sandoval who just passed away this week.

Sandoval was best known for his 15-round war with Philadelphia’s Jeff Chandler for the bantamweight world title in 1984. Read the story by Arne K. Lang on this link: https://tss.ib.tv/boxing/featured-boxing-articles-boxing-news-videos-rankings-and-results/81467-former-world-bantamweight-champion-richie-sandoval-passes-away-at-age-63 .

Fights to Watch

Fri. UFC Fight Pass 7 p.m. Omar Trinidad (15-0-1) vs Viktor Slavinskyi (15-2-1).

Sat. ESPN+ 12:30 p.m. Joe Joyce (16-2) vs Derek Chisora (34-13).

Sat. DAZN  3 p.m. Claressa Shields (14-0) vs Vanessa Lepage-Joanisse (7-1), Michel Rivera (25-1) vs Hugo Roldan (22-2-1); Tito Mercado (15-0) vs Hector Sarmiento (21-2).

Omar Trinidad photo by Lina Baker

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Arne’s Almanac: Jake Paul and Women’s Boxing, a Curmudgeon’s Take

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Jake Paul can fight more than a little. The view from here is that he would make it interesting against any fringe contender in the cruiserweight division. However, Jake’s boxing acumen pales when paired against his skill as a flim-flam artist.

Jake brought a 9-1 record into last weekend’s bout with Mike Perry. As noted by boxing writer Paul Magno, Jake’s previous opponents consisted of “a You Tuber, a retired NBA star, five retired MMA stars, a part-time boxer/reality TV star, and two undersized and inactive fall-guy boxers.”

Mike Perry, a 32-year-old Floridian, was undefeated (6-0, 3 KOs) as a bare-knuckle boxer after forging a 14-8 record in UFC bouts. In pre-fight blurbs, Perry was billed as the baddest bare knuckle boxer of all time, but against Jake Paul he proved to have very unrefined skills as a conventional boxer which Team Paul undoubtedly knew all along. Perry lasted into the eighth round in a one-sided fight that could have been stopped a lot sooner.

Jake Paul is both a boxer and a promoter. As a promoter, he handles Amanda Serrano, one of the greatest female boxers in history. That makes him the person most responsible (because the buck stops with him) for the wretched mismatch in last Saturday’s co-feature, the bout between Serrano and Stevie Morgan.

Morgan, who took up boxing two years ago at age 33, brought a 14-1 record. Nicknamed the Sledgehammer, she had won 13 of her 14 wins by knockout, eight in the opening round. However, although she resides in Florida, all but one of those 13 knockouts happened in Colombia.

“We found that in Colombia there were just more opportunities for women’s boxing than in the United States,” she told a prominent boxing writer whose name we won’t mention.

The truth is that, for some folks, Colombia is the boxing equivalent of a feeder lot for livestock, a place where a boxer can go to fatten their record. The opportunities there were no greater than in Hot Springs, Arkansas, in 1995. It was there that Peter McNeeley prepped for his match with Mike Tyson with a 6-second knockout of professional punching bag Frankie Hines. (Six seconds? So it would be written although no one seems to have been there to witness it.)

Serrano vs Morgan was understood to be a stay-busy fight for Amanda whose rematch with Katie Taylor was postponed until November. Stevie Morgan, to her credit, answered the bell for the second round whereas others in her situation would have remained on the stool and invented an injury to rationalize it. Thirty-eight seconds later it was all over and Ms. Morgan was free to go home and use her sledgehammer to do some light dusting.

The Paul-Perry and Serrano-Morgan fights played out in a sold-out arena in Tampa before an estimated 17,000. Those without a DAZN subscription paid $64.95 for the livestream. Paul’s next promotion, where he will touch gloves with 58-year-old Mike Tyson (unless Iron Mike pulls a Joe Biden and pulls out; a capital idea) with Serrano-Taylor II the semi-main, will almost certainly rake in more money than any other boxing promotion this year.

Asked his opinion of so-called crossover boxing by a reporter for a college newspaper, the venerable boxing promoter Bob Arum said, “It’s not my bag but folks who don’t like it shouldn’t get too worked up over it because no one is stealing from anybody.” True enough, but for some of us, the phenomenon is distressing.

The next big women’s fight happens Saturday in Detroit where Claressa Shields seeks a world title in a third weight class against WBC heavyweight belt-holder Vanessa Lepage-Joanisse.

A two-time Olympic gold medalist, undefeated in 14 fights as a pro, Shields is very good, arguably the best female boxer of her generation which makes her, arguably, the best female boxer of all time. But turning away Lepage-Joanisse (7-1, 2 KOs) won’t elevate her stature in our eyes.

Purportedly 17-4 as an amateur, the Canadian won her title in her second crack at it. Back in August of 2017, she challenged Cancun’s Alejandra Jimenez in Cancun and was stopped in the third round. Entering the bout, Lepage-Joanisse was 3-0 as a pro and had never fought a match slated for more than four rounds.

Vanessa Lepage-Joanisse

Vanessa Lepage-Joanisse

True, on the women’s side, the heavyweight bracket is a very small pod. A sanctioning body has to make concessions to harness a sanctioning fee. Nonetheless, how absurd that a woman who had answered the bell for only 11 rounds would be deemed qualified to compete for a world title. (FYI: Alejandra Jimenez was purportedly born a man. She left the sport with a 12-0-1 record after her win over Franchon Crews Dazurn was changed to a no-contest when she tested positive for the banned steroid stanozolol.)

Following her defeat to Jimenez, Vanessa Lepage-Joanisse, now 29 years old, was out of action for six-and-a-half years. When she returned, she was still a heavyweight, but a much slender heavyweight. She carried 231 pounds for Jimenez. In her most recent bout where she captured the vacant WBC title with a split decision over Argentina’s Abril Argentina Vidal, she clocked in at 173 ¼. (On the distaff side, there’s no uniformity among the various sanctioning bodies as to what constitutes a heavyweight.)

Claressa Shields doesn’t need Vanessa Lepage-Joanisse to reinforce her credentials as a future Hall of Famer. She made the cut a long time ago.

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Former World Bantamweight Champion Richie Sandoval Passes Away at Age 63

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Richie Sandoval, who won the WBA and lineal bantamweight title in one of the biggest upsets of the 1980s and then, not quite two years later, suffered near-fatal injuries in a title defense, has passed away at the age of 63.

News circulated fast in the Las Vegas boxing community on Monday, July 22, the grapevine actuated by a tweet from Hall of Fame matchmaker Bruce Trampler: “Boxing and the Top Rank family lost one of our own last night in the passing of former WBA bantamweight champion Richie Sandoval. It hurts personally and professionally to know that Richie is gone at age 63. RIP campeon.”

Details are vague but the cause of death was apparently a sudden heart attack that Sandoval experienced while visiting the Southern California home of his son of the same name.

Richie Sandoval put the LA County community of Pomona, California, on the boxing map before Shane Mosley came along and gave the town a more frequently-cited mention in the sports section of the papers. He came from a fighting family. An older brother, Albert “Superfly” Sandoval, became a big draw at LA’s fabled Olympic Auditorium while building a 35-2-1 record that included a failed bid to capture Lupe Pintor’s world bantamweight title.

Richie was a member of the 1980 U.S. Olympic boxing team that was stranded when U.S. President Jimmy Carter (and many other world leaders) boycotted the event as a protest against Russia’s invasion of Afghanistan.

As a pro, Sandoval’s signature win was a 15th-round stoppage of Jeff Chandler. They fought on April 7, 1984 in Atlantic City. Chandler was making the tenth defense of his world bantamweight title.

Despite being a heavy underdog, Sandoval dominated the fight, winning almost every round until the referee stepped in and waived it off. Chandler, who was 33-1-2 heading in and had avenged his lone defeat, never fought again.

Sandoval made two successful defenses before risking his title against Gaby Canizales on the undercard of Hagler-Mugabi in the outdoor stadium at Caesars Palace. In round seven, Sandoval, who had a hellish time making the weight, was knocked down three times and suffered a seizure as he collapsed from the third knockdown. Stretchered out of the ring, he was rushed to the hospital where doctors reduced the swelling in his brain and beat the odds to save his life. This would be Richie’s lone defeat. He finished his pro career with a record of 29-1 (17 KOs).

Bob Arum cushioned some of the pain by giving Richie a $25,000 bonus and offering him a lifetime job at Top Rank which Richie accepted. And let the record show that Arum was good to his word.

A more elaborate portrait of Richie Sandoval was published in these pages in 2017. You can check it out HERE. May he rest in peace.

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